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Riesterrente im Vergleich: Eine Simulationsstudie zur Verteilung der Renditen

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  • Weber, Andreas
  • Wystup, Uwe

Abstract

Bei der Altersvorsorge von Privatanlegern boomt in der derzeitigen Marktsituation die Vermarktung von Riesterverträgen. Verschiedene Anbieter versuchen, sich diesen Markt zu erschließen. Neben den Versicherungen haben auch Banken und Investmentgesellschaften Angebote auf den Markt gebracht. In der vorliegenden Arbeit untersuchen wir vier repräsentative Beispiele von Riester-Rentenverträgen unter Berücksichtigung der Gebührenstrukturen und Anlagekonzepte der jeweiligen Anbieter: DWS Riesterrente Premium, AXA TwinStar Rente Invest, Nürnberger Fondsgebundene Zulagen-Rente Doppel- Invest und Allianz Riesterrente mit Fonds und Garantie. Wir simulieren über einen Anlagehorizont von 35 Jahren die Verteilungen des bei Renteneintritt zur Verfügung stehenden Kapitals. Den Verlauf eines internationalen Aktienportfolios simulieren wir mit einer Displaced-Double-Exponential Sprungdiffusion. Dabei werden optimistische, pessimistische und gemischte Szenarien sowie verschiedene Kundentypen betrachtet. Im Ergebnis zeigt sich, dass vor allem die Gebühren maßgeblich zum Erfolg der Anlage beitragen. Unter den Investitionsstrategien ist der CPPI-Ansatz der DWS und der Variable Annuity-Ansatz der AXA in nahezu allen Fällen anderen Strategien überlegen.

Suggested Citation

  • Weber, Andreas & Wystup, Uwe, 2008. "Riesterrente im Vergleich: Eine Simulationsstudie zur Verteilung der Renditen," CPQF Working Paper Series 12, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management, Centre for Practical Quantitative Finance (CPQF).
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:cpqfwp:12
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. S. G. Kou, 2002. "A Jump-Diffusion Model for Option Pricing," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 48(8), pages 1086-1101, August.
    2. Isabelle Huault & V. Perret & S. Charreire-Petit, 2007. "Management," Post-Print halshs-00337676, HAL.
    3. Merton, Robert C., 1976. "Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(1-2), pages 125-144.
    4. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-654, May-June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Weber, Andreas & Wystup, Uwe, 2008. "Vergleich von Anlagestrategien bei Riesterrenten ohne Berücksichtigung von Gebühren: Eine Simulationsstudie zur Verteilung der Renditen," CPQF Working Paper Series 13, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management, Centre for Practical Quantitative Finance (CPQF).
    2. Yu, Xiaofan, 2011. "A spatial interpretation of the persistency of China's provincial inequality," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 171, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Altersvorsorge; Garantiefonds; Asset-Melt-down; Sparpläne; CPPI; Dynamic Hedging; Variable Annuities;

    JEL classification:

    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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