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International Spillovers of Output Growth and Output Growth Volatility: Evidence from the G7

Author

Listed:
  • Nikolaos Antonakakis
  • Harald Badinger

Abstract

This paper examines the transmission of GDP growth and GDP growth volatility among the G7 countries over the period 1960 q1 - 2009 q3, using a multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (MGARCH) model to identify the source and magnitude of spillovers. Results indicate the presence of positive own-country GDP growth spillovers in each country and of cross-country GDP growth spillovers among most of the G7 countries. In addition, the large number of significant own-country output growth volatility and cross-country output growth volatility spillovers indicates that output growth shocks in most of the G7 countries affect output growth volatility in the remaining others. An additional finding is that U.S. is the dominant source of GDP growth volatility transmission, as its volatility exerts a significant unidirectional spillover to all remaining G7 countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Nikolaos Antonakakis & Harald Badinger, 2010. "International Spillovers of Output Growth and Output Growth Volatility: Evidence from the G7," FIW Working Paper series 058, FIW.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsr:wpaper:y:2010:i:058
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Breitenlechner, Max & Scharler, Johann, 2015. "Business cycle and financial cycle spillovers in the G7 countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 154-162.
    2. Gour Gobinda Goswami & Farzana Alamgir, 2018. "Does Economic Growth Spillover More from the Eastern than the Western Countries? Evidence from Bangladesh’s Four Decades of Growth Experience," South Asian Survey, , vol. 25(1-2), pages 59-83, March.
    3. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Alessandro Girardi, 2016. "Business cycles, international trade and capital flows: evidence from Latin America," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 50(2), pages 231-252, March.
    4. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Max Breitenlechner & Johann Scharler, 2014. "How Strongly are Business Cycles and Financial Cycles Linked in the G7 Countries?," Working Papers 2014-07, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck.
    5. Etoundi Atenga, Eric Martial, 2017. "On the Determinants of output Co-movements in the CEMAC Zone:Examining the Role of Trade, Policy Channel, Economic Structure and Common Factors," MPRA Paper 82091, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Antonakakis, N. & Badinger, H., 2016. "Economic growth, volatility, and cross-country spillovers: New evidence for the G7 countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 352-365.
    7. Jiang, Yong & Zhou, Zhongbao & Liu, Qing & Lin, Ling & Xiao, Helu, 2020. "How do oil price shocks affect the output volatility of the U.S. energy mining industry? The roles of structural oil price shocks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    8. Selma Izadi & M. Kabir Hassan, 2018. "Portfolio and hedging effectiveness of financial assets of the G7 countries," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 8(2), pages 183-213, August.
    9. N. Antonakakis & H. Badinger, 2014. "International business cycle spillovers since the 1870s," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(30), pages 3682-3694, October.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Business cycle transmission; Spillovers; Recession;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F44 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Business Cycles

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