An examination of hysteresis hypothesis on natural rate of unemployment in the case of Turkey
In this study, the Hysteresis Hypothesis that assumes the natural rate of unemployment follows the last period’s realised unemployment was examined for the Turkish case by using annual data for the period of 1950-1995. The technique used in this study is the Kalman – Filter that is using as an influential technique to estimate the parameters of time varying regressions. Obtaining results show that the hypothesis is valid for the Turkish case in sample period. But, this quite weak validity needs additional explanatory variables to prove hypothesis completely.
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- Hall, Robert E, 1978. "Stochastic Implications of the Life Cycle-Permanent Income Hypothesis: Theory and Evidence," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 86(6), pages 971-987, December.
- John Y. Campbell & N. Gregory Mankiw, 1987.
"Are Output Fluctuations Transitory?,"
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Oxford University Press, vol. 102(4), pages 857-880.
- John Y. Campbell & N. Gregory Mankiw, 1986. "Are Output Fluctuations Transitory?," NBER Working Papers 1916, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Campbell, John & Mankiw, Gregory, 1987. "Are Output Fluctuations Transitory?," Scholarly Articles 3122545, Harvard University Department of Economics.
- Nelson, Charles R. & Plosser, Charles I., 1982. "Trends and random walks in macroeconmic time series : Some evidence and implications," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 139-162. Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)
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