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Financial uncertainty and business investment

Author

Listed:
  • Engelbert Stockhammer

    (Department of Economics, Vienna University of Economics & B.A.)

  • Lucas Grafl

    (Department of Economics, Vienna University of Economics & B.A.)

Abstract

The paper seeks to contribute to the empirical analysis of financial uncertainty and investment from a Post Keynesian perspective. The paper uses the volatility of the exchange rate, the volatility of the stock market index, and the real gold price as indicators for financial uncertainty. An increase in the volatility of a variable is a sufficient, but not a necessary condition for an increase in uncertainty (regarding this variable). The effects of changes in uncertainty on investment are investigated econometrically for the USA, the UK, the Netherlands, Germany, and France. Financial uncertainty has significant negative effects in the USA and the Netherlands.

Suggested Citation

  • Engelbert Stockhammer & Lucas Grafl, 2008. "Financial uncertainty and business investment," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp123, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:wiw:wiwwuw:wuwp123
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    Cited by:

    1. Li, Quan & Zhan, Kaiyan & Jiang, Hexin & Li, Tianshu & Zhang, Yuan, 2024. "Impact of financial regulation on labor income share: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    2. Amber Fatima & Abdul Waheed, 2014. "Economic uncertainty and growth performance: a macroeconomic modeling analysis for Pakistan," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 48(3), pages 1361-1387, May.
    3. Zou, Siqi & Long, Yang, 2025. "The nonlinear impact of economic policy uncertainty on corporate green total factor productivity," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    4. Shyam Gouri Suresh & Mark Setterfield, "undated". "Firm performance, macroeconomic conditions, and “animal spirits” in a Post Keynesian model of aggregate fluctuations," Working Papers 14-09, Davidson College, Department of Economics.
    5. Qi, Yong & Yang, Yudi & Yang, Shuo & Lyu, Simeng, 2021. "Does government funding promote or inhibit the financialization of manufacturing enterprises? Evidence from listed Chinese enterprises," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    6. Pintu Parui, 2022. "Corporate debt, endogenous dividend rate, instability and growth," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(2), pages 514-549, May.
    7. Hwan-Joo Seo & Han Sung Kim & Joonil Kim, 2016. "Does Shareholder Value Orientation or Financial Market Liberalization Slow Down Korean Real Investment?," Review of Radical Political Economics, Union for Radical Political Economics, vol. 48(4), pages 633-660, December.
    8. Engelbert Stockhammer & Quirin Dammerer & Andreas Maschke, 2025. "Between Academia and Economic Policy: The Rise and Decline of Post-Keynesian Economics in Austria," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(4), pages 1331-1357, August.
    9. Arestis, Philip & Gonzalez-Martinez, Ana Rosa, 2016. "Revisiting the accelerator principle in a world of uncertainty: Some empirical evidence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 35-42.
    10. Xu, Meng & Shang, Pengjian & Zhang, Sheng, 2021. "Multiscale Rényi cumulative residual distribution entropy: Reliability analysis of financial time series," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    11. John Nkwoma Inekwe, 2020. "Market uncertainty, risk aversion, and macroeconomic expectations," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(4), pages 1977-1995, October.
    12. Li, Mengzhe & Lin, Qianru & Lan, Fei & Zhan, Zhimin & He, Zhongshi, 2023. "Trade policy uncertainty and financial investment: Evidence from Chinese energy firms," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    13. Pan, Haiyue & Qin, Chuan & Li, Yan & Jing, Huiting & Zhang, Yaning, 2025. "Does financial flexibility affect corporate ESG Performance? Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    14. Parui, Pintu, 2021. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Financialization and the Wage Gap between Blue and White Collar Workers," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 416-443.
    15. Engelbert Stockhammer, 2009. "The finance-dominated accumulation regime, income distribution and the present crisis," Papeles de Europa, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Estudios Internacionales (ICEI), vol. 19, pages 58-81.
    16. Ibrahim, Mansor H. & Ahmed, Huson Joher Ali, 2014. "Permanent and transitory oil volatility and aggregate investment in Malaysia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 552-563.
    17. Qi, Minhao & Liu, Yuxin & Hu, Changlong & Yang, Zhijiu, 2024. "The unintended consequence of environmental centralization: Evidence from firm financialization," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    18. Li, Chao & Ba, Shusong & Ma, Kejia & Xu, Yueling & Huang, Wenli & Huang, Niyuan, 2023. "ESG Rating Events, Financial Investment Behavior and Corporate Innovation," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 372-387.
    19. Chi-Wei Su & Lidong Pang & Muhammad Umar & Oana-Ramona Lobonţ, 2022. "Will Gold Always Shine amid World Uncertainty?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(12), pages 3425-3438, September.
    20. Arestis, P. & González-Martinez, A. R. & Dejuán, Ó., 2016. "Investment, financial markets and uncertainty," Revista Economia e Sociedade, Instituto de Economia, Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP), vol. 25, December.
    21. F. De Sloover & K. Burggraeve & L. Dresse, 2012. "Belgian business investment in the context of the crisis," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue ii, pages 29-44, September.
    22. Wen, Jun & Zhao, Xinxin & Fu, Qiang & Chang, Chun-Ping, 2023. "The impact of financial risk on green innovation: Global evidence," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    23. Wang, Hua & Wang, Wei & Alhaleh, Shadi Emad Areef, 2021. "Mixed ownership and financial investment: Evidence from Chinese state-owned enterprises," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 159-171.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E25 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Aggregate Factor Income Distribution
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination

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