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Convergence in Output in Transition Economies Central & Eastern Europe, 1970-1995

Author

Listed:
  • Saul Estrin
  • Geovanni Urga

Abstract

In this paper we use unit roots/cointegration analysis and time varying parameters procedure to test for a common growth path in the ex-communist block, both pre- and post-reform. We test whether there has been convergence within the block and between the block as a group and the West. Surprisingly, there is little evidence of convergence within the communist block, which brings into question the effectiveness of policies to reduce differentials in income per capita across the region under the communists. There is also little evidence of convergence with respect to the West, either 1970-1990 or under the early years of reform are included, 1970-1995.

Suggested Citation

  • Saul Estrin & Geovanni Urga, 1997. "Convergence in Output in Transition Economies Central & Eastern Europe, 1970-1995," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series 30, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
  • Handle: RePEc:wdi:papers:1997-30
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    File URL: http://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/39420/3/wp30.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Jarko Fidrmuc & Iikka Korhonen, 2004. "The Euro goes East: Implications of the 2000–2002 Economic Slowdown for Synchronisation of Business Cycles between the Euro area and CEECs," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 46(1), pages 45-62, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    growth models; transition economies; unit roots; time series test; kalman filter;

    JEL classification:

    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General

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