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What Do We Know about Poverty in India in 2017/18 ?

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  • Edochie, Ifeanyi Nzegwu, Freije-Rodriguez, Samuel, Lakner, Christoph, Moreno Herrera, Laura Liliana, Newhouse, David Locke, Roy, Sutirtha Sinha, Yonzan, Nishant

Abstract

This paper nowcasts poverty in India, one of the countries with the largest population below the international poverty line of $1.90 per person per day. Because the latest official household survey dates back to 2011/12, there is considerable uncertainty about recent poverty trends in the country. Applying a pass-through and survey-to-survey methodology, extreme poverty at the $1.90 poverty line) for India in 2017 is estimated at 10.4 percent with a confidence interval of [8.1, 11.3] . The urban and rural poverty rates are estimated at 7.2 and 12.0 percent, respectively. Across a wide range of publicly available data sources, the paper finds no evidence of an increase in poverty between 2011/12 and 2017/18.

Suggested Citation

  • Edochie, Ifeanyi Nzegwu, Freije-Rodriguez, Samuel, Lakner, Christoph, Moreno Herrera, Laura Liliana, Newhouse, David Locke, Roy, Sutirtha Sinha, Yonzan, Nishant, 2022. "What Do We Know about Poverty in India in 2017/18 ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9931, The World Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:9931
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Oscar Altimir, 1987. "Income Distribution Statistics In Latin America And Their Reliability," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 33(2), pages 111-155, June.
    2. Aziz Atamanov & Christoph Lakner & Daniel Gerszon Mahler & Samuel Kofi Tetteh Baah & Judy Yang, 2020. "The Effect of New PPP Estimates on Global Poverty: A First Look," Global Poverty Monitoring Technical Note Series 12, The World Bank.
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    4. Sinha Roy, Sutirtha & van der Weide, Roy, 2025. "Estimating poverty for India after 2011 using private-sector survey data," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
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