How does the debt crisis affect investment and growth? : a neoclassical growth model applied to Mexico
Most economists and specialists in international finance believe that the debt crisis hurts macroeconomic performance, particularly discouraging investment and growth oriented structural reforms. Identifiying the link between the foreign debt overhang and macroeconomic performance is essential for assessing what creditors and debtors have to gain from alternative debt solutions. Having set up a neoclassical growth model to study the impact of the debt crisis on investment and growth, the author concludes : a) the best case for growth is given by inflation financing; the worst case, by national debt financing. In between are different combinations of income taxation and capital income taxation; and b) growth oriented reforms can increase the present value repayment by several percentage points of GDP. If these reforms are negotiated in the context of a debt reduction agreement, the secondary market discount for the remaining debt can be substantially reduced.
|Date of creation:||30 Apr 1990|
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: 1818 H Street, N.W., Washington, DC 20433|
Phone: (202) 477-1234
Web page: http://www.worldbank.org/
More information through EDIRC
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Abel, Andrew B., 1985.
"Dynamic behavior of capital accumulation in a cash-in-advance model,"
Journal of Monetary Economics,
Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 55-71, July.
- Andrew B. Abel, 1985. "Dynamic Behavior of Capital Accumulation in a Cash-in-Advance Model," NBER Working Papers 1549, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Altonji, Joseph G & Hayashi, Fumio & Kotlikoff, Laurence J, 1992. "Is the Extended Family Altruistically Linked? Direct Tests Using Micro Data," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 82(5), pages 1177-1198, December.
- Joseph G. Altonji & Fumio Hayashi & Laurence J. Kotlikoff, 1989. "Is the Extended Family Altruistically Linked? Direct Tests Using Micro Data," NBER Working Papers 3046, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Arrau, Patricio, 1989. "Human capital and endogenous growth in a large scale life cycle model," Policy Research Working Paper Series 342, The World Bank.
- Andrew B. Abel & Laurence J. Kotlikoff, 1988. "Does the Consumption of Different Age Groups Move Together? A New Nonparametric Test of Intergenerational Altruism," NBER Working Papers 2490, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Abel, Andrew B., 1990. "Consumption and investment," Handbook of Monetary Economics, in: B. M. Friedman & F. H. Hahn (ed.), Handbook of Monetary Economics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 14, pages 725-778 Elsevier.