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Determinants of FDI in the Chilean Case: A FMOLS Analysis. 1970-2016

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  • Miguel D. Ramirez

    (Department of Economics, Trinity College)

Abstract

This paper examines some of the major economic and institutional determinants of foreign direct investment (FDI) flows to Chile during the 2000s. It reports econometric results which suggest that standard economic variables and major changes in the institutional-legal status of foreign capital are, in large measure, responsible for the rapid increase in FDI flows to leading sectors of the Chilean economy. Cointegration analysis in the presence of structural breaks and FMOLS estimates for the 1970-2016 period suggest that market size, the real exchange rate, the debt-service ratio, education, physical infrastructure, and the Fraser Institute’s economic freedom index are economically significant in explaining the variation in the stock of net FDI to the country. Dummy variables, designed to capture qualitative factors such as the impact of economic crises and institutional reforms, are also included and they have their anticipated signs and are statistically significant. The paper also addresses the long-term negative effects of rapidly growing profit and dividend remittances on the financing of capital formation and the Chilean balance of payments in recent years.
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Suggested Citation

  • Miguel D. Ramirez, 2022. "Determinants of FDI in the Chilean Case: A FMOLS Analysis. 1970-2016," Working Papers 2201, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:tri:wpaper:2201
    as

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    File URL: http://www3.trincoll.edu/repec/WorkingPapers2022/WP22-01.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sebastian Edwards, 1999. "How Effective Are Capital Controls?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 13(4), pages 65-84, Fall.
    2. Agosin, Manuel R., 1999. "Trade and growth in Chile," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), August.
    3. Luiz R. de Mello Jr., 1997. "Foreign Direct Investment in Developing Countries: A Selective Survey," Studies in Economics 9701, School of Economics, University of Kent.
    4. Baumol, William J. & Nelson, Richard R. & Wolff, Edward N. (ed.), 1994. "Convergence of Productivity: Cross-National Studies and Historical Evidence," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780195083903.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Chilean Economy; Gross Capital Formation; FDI flows; FMOLS estimator; Gregory Hansen single-break cointegration test; Johansen cointegration test; remittacnes of profits and dividends; Unit root tests.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • O57 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries

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