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Assessing Scenarios on European Transport Policies by Means of Multicriteria Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Christian Heij

    (EURES-Institute for Regional Studies in Europe, Germany and Erasmus University Rotterdam)

  • Peter Nijkamp
  • Sytze A. Rienstra

    (Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam)

  • Dieter Rothenberger

    (EURES-Institute for Regional Studies in Europe, Germany)

Abstract

In general terms, the general Common Transport Policy (CTP) objectives of the European Union may be formulated in efficiency, regional development and environmental categories. Setting objective targets in the environmental field based on scientific evidence is not yet possible, so that it is still necessary to resort to policy documents. The same holds largely for economic efficiency and regional development issues, so that also here a pragmatic approach is required. The first part of the paper analyses relevant scientific frameworks, in this context followed by a specification of the targets. In the second part, future developments and policy packages are assessed by applying a multicriteria evaluation method based on the so-called regime analysis to the scores on these targets in six CTP-policy scenarios. Two external social and institutional frameworks - Cooperation and Polarization - and three policy directions (optimizing efficiency, regional development and environmental objectives, respectively) are investigated. It is concluded that European andsocietal cooperation and policies aiming at increasing efficiency and environmental objectives (especially by means of price measures) will result in satisfactory achievement of European transport policy targets.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Heij & Peter Nijkamp & Sytze A. Rienstra & Dieter Rothenberger, 1997. "Assessing Scenarios on European Transport Policies by Means of Multicriteria Analysis," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 97-086/3, Tinbergen Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:tin:wpaper:19970086
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    File URL: https://papers.tinbergen.nl/97086.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Nick Hanley & Clive L. Spash, 1993. "Cost–Benefit Analysis and the Environment," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 205.
    2. Frank Bruinsma & Sytze Rienstra & Piet Rietveld, 1997. "Economic Impacts of the Construction of a Transport Corridor: A Multi-level and Multiapproach Case Study for the Construction of the A1 Highway in the Netherlands," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(4), pages 391-402.
    3. Henk A. Gent & Peter Nijkamp, 1991. "Devolution of transport policy in Europe," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Kenneth Button & David Pitfield (ed.), Transport Deregulation, chapter 2, pages 25-35, Palgrave Macmillan.
    4. Vickerman, R W, 1995. "The Regional Impacts of Trans-European Networks," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 29(2), pages 237-254, May.
    5. Rienstra, Sytze A. & Stead, Dominic & Banister, David, 1997. "Assessing the complementarity of common transport policy objectives : a scenario approach," Serie Research Memoranda 0070, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.
    6. Solow, Robert M, 1986. " On the Intergenerational Allocation of Natural Resources," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 88(1), pages 141-149.
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    2. José Manuel Naranjo Gómez, 2016. "Impacts on the Social Cohesion of Mainland Spain’s Future Motorway and High-Speed Rail Networks," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(7), pages 1-22, July.

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