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Vaccine Uptake - Geographic Psychology or the Information Field?

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  • Peter Romero
  • Eisaku Daniel Tanaka
  • Yuki Mikiya
  • Shinya Yoshino
  • Atsushi Oshio
  • Teruo Nakatsuma

Abstract

Rapid vaccine uptake is a crucial component of public health, and contributes towards a stable economy. While previous research shows influences from spatial distribution of personality, and temporal influences of the information field, we integrate both by help of a suggested framework. Partial evidence for the framework is delivered by a subsequent Japan-wide analysis of the influence of spatial personality and spatiotemporal changes in the information field. More concretely, we analyse 25,614,106 hyperlocal Tweets from 2019 to 2021 that cover all prefectures of Japan using J-LIWC2015, 14,418 responses to the TIPI-J collected between 2012 and 2019, 6,266 responses to the Japanese version of NEO-FFI and a COVID-19-vaccine-related questionnaire that covers cognitive, affective, and behavioural items. We offer three models that predict mid-term vaccine uptake, long-term vaccine uptake, and abidance by governmental measures. Results indicate that vaccine uptake speed is predicted by temporal distribution of the information field, geospatial distribution of agent and contextual personality (Extraversion), presence of severe COVID-19 cases, and agent belief systems. More concretely, relevant language (negative emotions, affected language, anxiety, risk-related language) that implies close proximity (family-related language), the presence of severe COVID-19 cases, contextual and agent Extraversion, as well as agent beliefs that vaccines are justified, predict vaccine uptake speed and abidance by governmental measures. For analysis, we suggest a semi-manual statistical feature reduction approach that allows injection of theoretical consideration by chaining traditional steps of statistics and statistical learning with human selection of final predictors. We then discuss possibilities to include our findings for enhancing vaccine acceptance, shaping better public health behaviors, customising and precisely targeting government communications to counter misinformation, fostering a healthier and more resilient society, as well as a more stable economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter Romero & Eisaku Daniel Tanaka & Yuki Mikiya & Shinya Yoshino & Atsushi Oshio & Teruo Nakatsuma, 2023. "Vaccine Uptake - Geographic Psychology or the Information Field?," Working Papers e191, Tokyo Center for Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:tcr:wpaper:e191
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sahil Loomba & Alexandre Figueiredo & Simon J. Piatek & Kristen Graaf & Heidi J. Larson, 2021. "Measuring the impact of COVID-19 vaccine misinformation on vaccination intent in the UK and USA," Nature Human Behaviour, Nature, vol. 5(3), pages 337-348, March.
    2. Sahil Loomba & Alexandre Figueiredo & Simon J. Piatek & Kristen Graaf & Heidi J. Larson, 2021. "Author Correction: Measuring the impact of COVID-19 vaccine misinformation on vaccination intent in the UK and USA," Nature Human Behaviour, Nature, vol. 5(7), pages 960-960, July.
    3. Sahil Loomba & Alexandre Figueiredo & Simon J. Piatek & Kristen Graaf & Heidi J. Larson, 2021. "Author Correction: Measuring the impact of COVID-19 vaccine misinformation on vaccination intent in the UK and USA," Nature Human Behaviour, Nature, vol. 5(3), pages 407-407, March.
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