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Risk Sharing and Real Exchange Rate : The Roles of Non-tradable Sector and Trend Shocks

Author

Listed:
  • Huseyin Cagri Akkoyun
  • Yavuz Arslan
  • Mustafa Kilinc

Abstract

In this paper, we show that tradable and non-tradable TFP processes of the US and Europe have unit roots and can be modeled by a vector error correction model (VECM). Then, we develop a standard two country and two good (tradable and non-tradable) DSGE model. Our model implies that using cointegrated TFP processes improves the real exchange rate (RER) volatility and risk sharing puzzles compared to the model with transitory TFP processes. Cointegrated TFP shocks, or trend shocks, generate signi?cant income e�ects, and amplify the mechanisms that produce high RER volatility. Moreover, trend shocks break the tight link between relative consumption and RER for low and high values of trade elasticity parameters.

Suggested Citation

  • Huseyin Cagri Akkoyun & Yavuz Arslan & Mustafa Kilinc, 2013. "Risk Sharing and Real Exchange Rate : The Roles of Non-tradable Sector and Trend Shocks," Working Papers 1336, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    • Handle: RePEc:tcb:wpaper:1336
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    Cited by:

    1. Ivashchenko, S., 2020. "Long-term growth sources for sectors of Russian economy," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 48(4), pages 86-112.
    2. Cheng, Xiang & Wang, Wenfu & Chen, Xueli & Zhang, Wei & Song, Malin, 2024. "Carbon tariffs and energy subsidies: Synergy or antagonism?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
    3. Carlos A. Yépez, 2020. "International risk sharing in emerging economies," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(3), pages 434-459, December.
    4. Kyriacos Lambrias, 2020. "Real exchange rates and international co-movement: News-shocks and non-tradable goods with complete markets," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 35, pages 154-169, January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F44 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Business Cycles

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