IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/
MyIDEAS: Login to save this paper or follow this series

Iletisim Politikasi ve Enflasyon Beklentileri

  • Yusuf Soner Baskaya
  • Eda Gulsen
  • A. Hakan Kara

[TR] 2011 yilinin ikinci yarisinda enflasyonda hizli bir yukselis gozlenmesi ve enflasyonun uzunca bir muddet hedefin belirgin olarak uzerinde seyretmesi enflasyon beklentilerinin yakindan izlenmesini gerektirmektedir. Bu calisma, beklenti olusumunun zaman icindeki seyrini inceleyerek anilan donemde davranissal bir bozulma yasanip yasanmadigini incelemektedir. Elde edilen bulgular, enflasyon hedefinin beklentilerin temel belirleyicilerinden biri olmaya devam ettigini ve gecmis enflasyonun beklentiler uzerindeki etkisinin zaman icinde azaldigini gostermektedir. Bu sonuclar, enflasyon hedefinin cipa olma niteligini koruduguna isaret etmektedir. [EN] After displaying a sharp increase during the second half of 2011, inflation has been significantly above the target for a long period, necessitating a close monitoring of inflation expectations. This study assesses the evolution of inflation expectations and investigates whether there is a behavioral deterioration in the recent period. Our findings indicate that inflation target is still one of the main determinants of inflation expectations. Moreover, the weight of past inflation in explaining inflation expectations has been declining through time. These results suggest that inflation targets continue to serve as an anchor.

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.

File URL: http://www.tcmb.gov.tr/wps/wcm/connect/024c66df-315d-4758-9f33-ca10028c3237/EN1214.pdf?MOD=AJPERES&CACHEID=024c66df-315d-4758-9f33-ca10028c3237
Download Restriction: no

Paper provided by Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey in its series CBT Research Notes in Economics with number 1214.

as
in new window

Length:
Date of creation: 2012
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:tcb:econot:1214
Contact details of provider: Postal: Head Office, Istiklal Cad. 10 Ulus, 06100 Ankara
Phone: (90 312) 507 5000
Fax: (90 312) 507 5640
Web page: http://www.tcmb.gov.tr/
Email:


More information through EDIRC

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

as in new window
  1. Yusuf Soner Baskaya & Hakan Kara & Defne Mutluer, 2008. "Expectations, Communication and Monetary Policy in Turkey," Working Papers 0801, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  2. Hakan Kara & Hande Kucuk-Tuğer, 2010. "Inflation expectations in Turkey: learning to be rational," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(21), pages 2725-2742.
  3. Yusuf Soner Baskaya & Eda Gulsen & Musa Orak, 2010. "2008 Hedef Revizyonu Oncesi ve Sonrasinda Enflasyon Beklentileri," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1001, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  4. Serkan ÇİÇEK & Cüneyt AKAR & Eray YÜCEL, 2011. "Türkiye’de enflasyon beklentilerinin çapalanması ve güvenilirlik," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 26(304), pages 37-55.
  5. Erdem Başçı & Hakan Kara, 2011. "Finansal istikrar ve para politikası," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 26(302), pages 9-25.
  6. A.Hakan KARA, 2012. "Küresel kriz sonrası para politikası," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 27(315), pages 09-36.
Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:tcb:econot:1214. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ()

If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis using RePEc data.