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A Central Limit Theorem for Realised Power and Bipower Variations of Continuous Semimartingales

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  • Ole BARNDORFF-NIELSEN
  • Svend Erik GRAVERSEN
  • Jean JACOD
  • Mark PODOLSKIJ
  • Neil SHEPHARD

Abstract

Consider a semimartingale of the form Y_{t}=Y_0+\int _0^{t}a_{s}ds+\int _0^{t}_{s-} dW_{s}, where a is a locally bounded predictable process and (the "volatility") is an adapted right--continuous process with left limits and W is a Brownian motion. We define the realised bipower variation process V(Y;r,s)_{t}^n=n^{((r+s)/2)-1} \sum_{i=1}^{[nt]}|Y_{(i/n)}-Y_{((i-1)/n)}|^{r}|Y_{((i+1)/n)}-Y_{(i/n)}|^{s}, where r and s are nonnegative reals with r+s>0. We prove that V(Y;r,s)_{t}n converges locally uniformly in time, in probability, to a limiting process V(Y;r,s)_{t} (the "bipower variation process"). If further is a possibly discontinuous semimartingale driven by a Brownian motion which may be correlated with W and by a Poisson random measure, we prove a central limit theorem, in the sense that \sqrt(n) (V(Y;r,s)^n-V(Y;r,s)) converges in law to a process which is the stochastic integral with respect to some other Brownian motion W', which is independent of the driving terms of Y and \sigma. We also provide a multivariate version of these results.

Suggested Citation

  • Ole BARNDORFF-NIELSEN & Svend Erik GRAVERSEN & Jean JACOD & Mark PODOLSKIJ & Neil SHEPHARD, 2004. "A Central Limit Theorem for Realised Power and Bipower Variations of Continuous Semimartingales," OFRC Working Papers Series 2004fe21, Oxford Financial Research Centre.
  • Handle: RePEc:sbs:wpsefe:2004fe21
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2006. "Econometrics of Testing for Jumps in Financial Economics Using Bipower Variation," The Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 4(1), pages 1-30.
    2. Ole E. Barndorff‐Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2002. "Econometric analysis of realized volatility and its use in estimating stochastic volatility models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 64(2), pages 253-280, May.
    3. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2001. "Econometric Analysis of Realised Covariation: High Frequency Covariance, Regression and Correlation in Financial Economics," Economics Papers 2002-W13, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford, revised 18 Mar 2002.
    4. Neil Shephard, 2005. "Stochastic Volatility," Economics Papers 2005-W17, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
    5. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Paul Labys, 2003. "Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(2), pages 579-625, March.
    6. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2004. "Econometric Analysis of Realized Covariation: High Frequency Based Covariance, Regression, and Correlation in Financial Economics," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 72(3), pages 885-925, May.
    7. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen, 2004. "Power and Bipower Variation with Stochastic Volatility and Jumps," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 2(1), pages 1-37.
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