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Silk Road Transport Corridors: Assessment of Trans-EAEU Freight Traffic Growth Potential

Author

Listed:
  • Vinokurov, Evgeny
  • Lobyrev, Vitaly
  • Tikhomirov, Andrey
  • Tsukarev, Taras

Abstract

This report, prepared with the participation of experts from the Institute of the Economy and Transport Development, presents the results of quantitative assessment of freight traffic growth prospects along the China–EAEU–EU axis. The report provides a description of general trends affecting development of freight transport subject to commodity structure and mode of transport. Special attention is paid to factors driving changes in freight traffic. The authors present their view of the impact that freight rates have on the metrics of freight traffic being rechannelled to EAEU transport infrastructure and the operation of certain factors, such as regularity (rhythmicity) and timeframes of cargo deliveries. The final part of the report offers an assessment of additional freight traffic which may be attracted to transport routes along the China–EAEU–EU axis, in the short and long term.

Suggested Citation

  • Vinokurov, Evgeny & Lobyrev, Vitaly & Tikhomirov, Andrey & Tsukarev, Taras, 2018. "Silk Road Transport Corridors: Assessment of Trans-EAEU Freight Traffic Growth Potential," MPRA Paper 86184, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:86184
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/86184/1/MPRA_paper_86184.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Krude,Torsten & Baker,Sara T. (ed.), 2018. "Development," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781108447379.
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    Cited by:

    1. Damoah, Kaku Attah & Giovannetti, Giorgia & Marvasi, Enrico, 2022. "Do country centrality and similarity to China matter in the allocation of belt and road projects?," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 660-674.
    2. Watanabe, Daisuke & Shibasaki, Ryuichi & Arai, Hirofumi, 2021. "Logistics Policy Analysis and Network Model Simulation for Cross-Border Transport in the Trans-Caspian Transport Corridor: Global Intermodal Logistics Network Simulation (GLINS) Model," ADBI Working Papers 1269, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    3. Evgeny Y. Vinokurov & Arman Ahunbaev & Alexander I. Zaboev, 2022. "International North–South Transport Corridor: Boosting Russia's "pivot to the South" and Trans-Eurasian connectivity," Russian Journal of Economics, ARPHA Platform, vol. 8(2), pages 159-173, July.
    4. Kenderdine, Tristan & Bucsky, Peter, 2021. "Middle Corridor—Policy Development and Trade Potential of the Trans-Caspian International Transport Route," ADBI Working Papers 1268, Asian Development Bank Institute.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Transport corridors; Belt and Road Initiative; transport infrastructure; Silk Road; EAEU; China; EU;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • R41 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Transportation: Demand, Supply, and Congestion; Travel Time; Safety and Accidents; Transportation Noise
    • R42 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Government and Private Investment Analysis; Road Maintenance; Transportation Planning

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