Modeling with scenarios: technology in north-south development
This article outlines work in progress on a study of technological choice in the context of North-South development. Its main purpose is to describe the methodology being developed in the pilot phase of the study. This is of interest because it links together a number of analytic techniques--sociopolitical scenario analysis, macroeconomic modelling, and certain microstudies. The methodological problems are general to much forecasting activity.
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- Chichilnisky, Graciela, 1981. "Terms of trade and domestic distribution : Export-led growth with abundant labour," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 163-192, April.
- Hopkins, Mike & Scolnik H & Mclean M, 1975. "Basic needs, growth and redistribution; a quantitative approach," ILO Working Papers 163532, International Labour Organization.
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