IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/72277.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

О Стадном Поведении В Динамической Модели Замкнутого Однотоварного Рынка, Участниками Которого Являются Конечные Автоматы
[On the herd behavior in the dynamic model of closed one commodity market with finite automata as participants]

Author

Listed:
  • Voronovitsky, Mark

Abstract

We investigate the mechanisms of the herd behavior of participants in the in the closed model one commodity market. The herd behavior is a case of behavior when participants renounce from using of all own information and repeats the actions of majority of other participants of the collective. The rather modest problem of investigation of the herd behavior in the agent based model of a closed one commodity market, which was formulated and was investigated in our previous paper, is a object of this work. Two cases of choice by all agents of the same algorithm of definition of price was investigated in the previous paper . It was shown that in both cases trajectory of system after some time is in stationary set in which the average price of market hesitates close to its constant value. The possibility in the same model of the two other cases of herd behavior one of them is which induces the growth of the average price of market and other of them when herd behavior induces decreasing the average price of market it we have shown in this paper. . It is obviously from this investigation that herd behavior can occur on the finite interval of time..

Suggested Citation

  • Voronovitsky, Mark, 2016. "О Стадном Поведении В Динамической Модели Замкнутого Однотоварного Рынка, Участниками Которого Являются Конечные Автоматы [On the herd behavior in the dynamic model of closed one commodity market w," MPRA Paper 72277, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:72277
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/72277/1/MPRA_paper_72277.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Avery, Christopher & Zemsky, Peter, 1998. "Multidimensional Uncertainty and Herd Behavior in Financial Markets," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 88(4), pages 724-748, September.
    2. Topol, Richard, 1991. "Bubbles and Volatility of Stock Prices: Effect of Mimetic Contagion," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 101(407), pages 786-800, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Вороновицкий М.М., 2014. "Агент - Ориентированная Модель Замкнутого Однотоварного Рынка," Журнал Экономика и математические методы (ЭММ), Центральный Экономико-Математический Институт (ЦЭМИ), vol. 50(2), pages 73-87, апрель.
    2. Вороновицкий М.М., 2015. "Агент-Ориентированная Модель Замкнутого Однотоварного Рынка При Рациональном Предпочтении Участников," Журнал Экономика и математические методы (ЭММ), Центральный Экономико-Математический Институт (ЦЭМИ), vol. 51(3), pages 64-80, июль.
    3. Bai, Yizhou & Xue, Cheng, 2021. "An empirical study on the regulated Chinese agricultural commodity futures market based on skew Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    4. James Payne & George Waters, 2007. "Have Equity REITs Experienced Periodically Collapsing Bubbles?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 34(2), pages 207-224, February.
    5. Malik, Saif Ullah & Elahi, Muhammad Ather, 2014. "Analysis of Herd Behavior Using Quantile Regression: Evidence from Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE)," MPRA Paper 55322, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Park, Beum-Jo & Kim, Myung-Joong, 2017. "A Dynamic Measure of Intentional Herd Behavior in Financial Markets," MPRA Paper 82025, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Pegah Dehghani & Ros Zam Zam Sapian, 2014. "Sectoral herding behavior in the aftermarket of Malaysian IPOs," Venture Capital, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(3), pages 227-246, July.
    8. Koessler, Frédéric & Noussair, Charles & Ziegelmeyer, Anthony, 2008. "Parimutuel betting under asymmetric information," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(7-8), pages 733-744, July.
    9. Jørgen Vitting Andersen & Ioannis Vrontos & Petros Dellaportas & Serge Galam, 2014. "Communication impacting financial markets," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00982959, HAL.
    10. Serena Brianzoni & Roy Cerqueti & Elisabetta Michetti, 2010. "A Dynamic Stochastic Model of Asset Pricing with Heterogeneous Beliefs," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 35(2), pages 165-188, February.
    11. Feri, Francesco & Meléndez-Jiménez, Miguel A. & Ponti, Giovanni & Vega-Redondo, Fernando, 2011. "Error cascades in observational learning: An experiment on the Chinos game," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 73(1), pages 136-146, September.
    12. Kirman Alan & Teyssière Gilles, 2002. "Microeconomic Models for Long Memory in the Volatility of Financial Time Series," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 5(4), pages 1-23, January.
    13. Jonathan E. Alevy & Michael S. Haigh & John List, 2006. "Information Cascades: Evidence from An Experiment with Financial Market Professionals," NBER Working Papers 12767, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    14. Marco Cipriani & Antonio Guarino, 2009. "Herd Behavior in Financial Markets: An Experiment with Financial Market Professionals," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 7(1), pages 206-233, March.
    15. Rama Cont & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 1997. "Herd behavior and aggregate fluctuations in financial markets," Science & Finance (CFM) working paper archive 500028, Science & Finance, Capital Fund Management.
    16. Annamaria Fiore & Andrea Morone, 2005. "Is playing alone in the darkness sufficient to prevent informational cascades?," Experimental 0503002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Jeon, Jin Q & Moffett, Clay M., 2010. "Herding by foreign investors and emerging market equity returns: Evidence from Korea," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 698-710, October.
    18. Stephanie De Mel & Kaivan Munshi & Soenje Reiche & Hamid Sabourian, 2021. "Herding with Heterogeneous Ability: An Application to Organ Transplantation," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2308, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    19. Jason Shachat & Anand Srinivasan, 2022. "Informational Price Cascades and Non-Aggregation of Asymmetric Information in Experimental Asset Markets," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(4), pages 388-407, November.
    20. Omurtag, Ahmet & Sirovich, Lawrence, 2006. "Modeling a large population of traders: Mimesis and stability," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 61(4), pages 562-576, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Keywords: : model; closed market; herd behavior; go to a bear; go to a bull/ one commodity market; dynamics of prices; trajectory; stationary set; steady state; rational choice; finite automata.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:72277. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.