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Money Demand and Inflation: A Cointegration Analysis for Canada

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  • Lubello, Federico

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to investigate the presence of long-run equilibrium relationships among variables that explain money demand in Canada during the period 1983–2011. To this end, I set up a vector-error correction model with an appropriate lag order and test for cointegration by means of the Bartlett corrected trace test. I estimate the long-run money demand parameters by means of the maximum likelihood method of Johansen, comparing an unconstrained benchmark model against other constrained model. I find the latter to not be better than the benchmark one. Finally, I perform sensitivity analysis and check the stability of the resulting cointegration relationships.

Suggested Citation

  • Lubello, Federico, 2011. "Money Demand and Inflation: A Cointegration Analysis for Canada," MPRA Paper 54901, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:54901
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lucas, Robert E., 1988. "Money demand in the United States: A quantitative review," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 137-167, January.
    2. Ball, Laurence, 2001. "Another look at long-run money demand," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(1), pages 31-44, February.
    3. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    4. Allan H. Meltzer, 1963. "The Demand for Money: The Evidence from the Time Series," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 71(3), pages 219-219.
    5. Granger, C. W. J., 1981. "Some properties of time series data and their use in econometric model specification," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 121-130, May.
    6. Granger, C. W. J. & Newbold, P., 1974. "Spurious regressions in econometrics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 111-120, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Canada; cointegration; money demand; vector autoregression;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
    • C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money

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