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Southeastern Europe: post-crisis prospects and risks

  • Camlica, Ferhat
  • Orman, Cuneyt
  • Payzanoglu, Durukan
  • Yucel, Eray

The Southeast European (SEE) countries have strong roots in social and historical terms. Their experience of the last couple of decades indicates, however, that SEE is in continual change and transformation: They want to attain more open societies, functioning markets and well-knit international affairs. This paper examines the economic prospects of the SEE countries from the eye of outsiders. Specifically, we investigate the strength of intra-SEE economic ties, stability at the nexus of financial and real sectors, propagation of shocks from the major economies of Europe to the SEE, and uncertainties surrounding the SEE countries. Along each of these dimensions, we maintain a comparative perspective, spatially relative to continental Europe and Turkey and temporally relative to the pre-crisis period.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/45539/1/MPRA_paper_45539.pdf
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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 45539.

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Date of creation: Apr 2012
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:45539
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  1. Cunedioglu, Ekrem & Yucel, Eray, 2011. "Does every stone fall in the same way? new gravity evidence on world trade," MPRA Paper 30870, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  2. Engle, Robert F. & Kroner, Kenneth F., 1995. "Multivariate Simultaneous Generalized ARCH," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 11(01), pages 122-150, February.
  3. Ralph De Haas & Yevgeniya Korniyenko & Elena Loukoianova & Alexander Pivovarsky, 2012. "Foreign banks and the Vienna Initiative: turning sinners into saints," Working Papers 143, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, Office of the Chief Economist.
  4. Gardó, Sándor & Martin, Reiner, 2010. "The impact of the global economic and financial crisis on central, eastern and south-eastern Europe: A stock-taking exercise," Occasional Paper Series 114, European Central Bank.
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