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Behavioral approach to market and default risks modeling

  • Taguedong, Sylvain Chamberlain
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    In this paper we discuss popular market and default risks modeling. We highlight some shortcomings. Then, we present the prospect and cumulative prospect theories. We discuss again the previous models under behavioral finance framework and get different results. Based on these results, we propose a new Value at Risk measure and make suggestions on other measures.

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    File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/20641/1/MPRA_paper_20641.pdf
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    File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/21897/1/MPRA_paper_21897.pdf
    File Function: revised version
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    Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 20641.

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    Date of creation: 27 Dec 2009
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    Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:20641
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    1. Parkinson, Michael, 1980. "The Extreme Value Method for Estimating the Variance of the Rate of Return," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 53(1), pages 61-65, January.
    2. Carlo Acerbi & Dirk Tasche, 2001. "On the coherence of Expected Shortfall," Papers cond-mat/0104295, arXiv.org, revised May 2002.
    3. Charles Lee & Andrei Shleifer & Richard Thaler, 1990. "Investor Sentiment and the Closed-End Fund Puzzle," NBER Working Papers 3465, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Garman, Mark B & Klass, Michael J, 1980. "On the Estimation of Security Price Volatilities from Historical Data," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 53(1), pages 67-78, January.
    5. Tversky, Amos & Kahneman, Daniel, 1992. " Advances in Prospect Theory: Cumulative Representation of Uncertainty," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 5(4), pages 297-323, October.
    6. Laurent Calvet & Adlai Fisher & Benoit Mandelbrot, 1999. "A Multifractal Model of Assets Returns," New York University, Leonard N. Stern School Finance Department Working Paper Seires 99-072, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business-.
    7. Malcolm Baker & Jeffrey Wurgler, 2007. "Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market," NBER Working Papers 13189, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Jarrow, Robert A & Turnbull, Stuart M, 1995. " Pricing Derivatives on Financial Securities Subject to Credit Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(1), pages 53-85, March.
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