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IRIS Modulo 1 - Il fattore domanda nell’era dell’IA. Principio fiscale, architettura di misurazione e orizzonte di finanziamento
[IRIS Module 1 - Demand Factor in the Age of AI: Fiscal Principle, Measurement Architecture, and Financing Horizon]

Author

Listed:
  • Frontera, Fabricio

Abstract

L'accelerazione dell'intelligenza artificiale può produrre una frattura strutturale nel circuito economico moderno. Nell'economia industriale il salario svolgeva una funzione duale: remunerava il lavoro e distribuiva il potere d'acquisto che permetteva di realizzare la produzione come domanda di mercato. Un'economia ad alta intensità di IA può separare le due funzioni, espandendo la capacità produttiva mentre riduce la centralità dell'occupazione come canale di distribuzione. Ciò che comincia come un problema del mercato del lavoro diventa allora un problema di realizzazione economica: come convertire in valore di mercato una produzione automatizzata quando si erode il meccanismo che distribuiva domanda. Questo documento sostiene che l'essere umano non scompare dal circuito economico ma cambia posizione. Da produttore centrale diventa portatore indispensabile del fattore domanda: la capacità umana di assorbire produzione mediante potere d'acquisto, che le conferisce valore di mercato, legittimità sociale e finalità economica. Da questa svolta copernicana nasce il principio che ordina il programma: l'accesso dell'IA alla domanda umana non può restare istituzionalmente gratuito. Non si tratta di punire l'innovazione né di difendere artificialmente occupazioni obsolete, ma di riconoscere una posizione economica e di costruire l'architettura capace di sostenerla. L'intuizione che ordina l'insieme sta in una frase: l'accesso al mercato umano non è mai stato gratuito; il suo prezzo, invisibile, era incorporato nella massa salariale. L'automazione non elimina quel prezzo: lo lascia impagato. Su questa base il documento formula un'architettura di tre strumenti concettuali, il MAT (Market Access Tax), il MAR (Market Access Right) e il MAD (Market Access Dividend), un'architettura transitoria di misurazione dell'incidenza dell'IA, e l'orizzonte di finanziamento che si apre quando si riconosce che lo strato fiscale può non bastare da solo.

Suggested Citation

  • Frontera, Fabricio, 2026. "IRIS Modulo 1 - Il fattore domanda nell’era dell’IA. Principio fiscale, architettura di misurazione e orizzonte di finanziamento [IRIS Module 1 - Demand Factor in the Age of AI: Fiscal Principle, Measurement Architecture, and Financing Horizon]," MPRA Paper 130412, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 11 Jun 2026.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:130412
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    JEL classification:

    • D63 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics - - - Equity, Justice, Inequality, and Other Normative Criteria and Measurement
    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E25 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Aggregate Factor Income Distribution
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H23 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies
    • I38 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
    • P16 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Capitalist Economies - - - Capitalist Institutions; Welfare State

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