The impact of foreign interest rate on the macroeconomic performance of Turkey
In this study, we examine the effects of a shock in foreign interest rate on the macroeconomic performance of Turkey. We use two different structural vector autoregression models (SVAR) and specify them differently for the pre and post 2001:6 period. Based on the results of the SVAR models we conclude that, for the period before 2001:6 a positive foreign interest rate shock appreciates the real exchange rate, decreases the inflation rate, the domestic interest rate and the income. This last effect occurs when the domestic interest rates are excluded from the model, but when they are included the effect on income is positive. After 2001:6, we find that the real exchange rate depreciates, the income decreases, the inflation rate, and the domestic interest rate increases; although this last effect is very small.
|Date of creation:||2004|
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: Ludwigstraße 33, D-80539 Munich, Germany|
Web page: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de
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- Kim, Soyoung & Roubini, Nouriel, 2000. "Exchange rate anomalies in the industrial countries: A solution with a structural VAR approach," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(3), pages 561-586, June.
- Christopher A. Sims & Tao Zha, 1999.
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- Tom Doan, "undated". "RATS programs to replicate Sims and Zha(1999) "Error Bands for Impulse Responses"," Statistical Software Components RTZ00145, Boston College Department of Economics.
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- Schmitt-Grohe, Stephanie, 1998. "The international transmission of economic fluctuations:: Effects of U.S. business cycles on the Canadian economy," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 257-287, April.
- Stephanie Schmitt-Grohe, 1995. "The international transmission of economic fluctuations: effects of U. S. business cycles on the Canadian economy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 95-6, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Hakan Berument & Zubeyir Kilinc, 2004. "The effect of foreign income on economic performance of a small-open economy: evidence from Turkey," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(8), pages 483-488. Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)
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