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Dynamic Equilibrium and Volatility in Financial Asset Markets

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  • Yacine Ait-Sahalia

Abstract

This paper develops and estimates a continuous-time model of a financial market where investors' trading strategies and the specialist's rule of price adjustments are the best response to each other. We examine how far modeling market microstructure in a purely rational framework can go in explaining alleged asset pricing `anomalies.' The model produces some major findings of the empirical literature: excess volatility of the market price compared to the asset's fundamental value, serially correlated volatility, contemporaneous volume-volatility correlation, and excess kurtosis of price changes. We implement a nonlinear filter to estimate the unobservable fundamental value, and avoid the discretization bias by computing the exact conditional moments of the price and volume processes over time intervals of any length.

Suggested Citation

  • Yacine Ait-Sahalia, 1996. "Dynamic Equilibrium and Volatility in Financial Asset Markets," NBER Working Papers 5479, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:5479
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    Cited by:

    1. Gerhard, Frank & Hess, Dieter & Pohlmeier, Winfried, 1998. "What a Difference a Day Makes: On the Common Market Microstructure of Trading Days," CoFE Discussion Papers 98/01, University of Konstanz, Center of Finance and Econometrics (CoFE).
    2. Frank Gerhard & Dieter Hess & Winfried Pohlmeier, 1999. "What a Difference a Day Makes: On the Common Market Microstructure of Trading Days," Finance 9904006, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Smith, J.Q. & Santos, Antonio A.F., 2006. "Second-Order Filter Distribution Approximations for Financial Time Series With Extreme Outliers," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 24, pages 329-337, July.

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    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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