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Inflation and Other Aggregate Determinants of the Trend in U.S. Divorce Rates since the 1960s

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  • John M. Nunley

Abstract

This paper extends empirical research on determinants of divorce in two ways. First, I examine the effect of inflation on divorce. Second, the use of a structural time-series modeling approach attributes unobservables and omitted variables to an unobserved component, which allows for the model’s parameters to be estimated consistently. Inflation is statistically significant, positive, and persistent. I show that the effects of inflation are robust to the inclusion of additional explanatory variables and various trend specifications. The long-run implications of inflation are also substantial. I conclude that price stability has the potential to reduce divorce rates.

Suggested Citation

  • John M. Nunley, 2007. "Inflation and Other Aggregate Determinants of the Trend in U.S. Divorce Rates since the 1960s," Working Papers 200717, Middle Tennessee State University, Department of Economics and Finance.
    • Handle: RePEc:mts:wpaper:200717
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    File URL: http://capone.mtsu.edu/berc/working/Nunley-UCM.pdf
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    Blog mentions

    As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
    1. The Relationship Between Inflation and Divorce
      by Ariel Goldring in Free Market Mojo on 2010-09-30 17:00:05

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Seyed Nezamuddin Makiyan & Marjan Habibi, 2014. "Relationship Between Divorce And Some Economic & Socioeconomic Variables In Iran: An Application Of The Ardl Model," Almanach (Actual Issues in World Economics and Politics), Ekonomická univerzita, Fakulta medzinárodných vzťahov, vol. 9(1), pages 62-72.
    2. Rafael González-Val & Miriam Marcén, 2018. "Unemployment, marriage and divorce," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(13), pages 1495-1508, March.
    3. Marcén, Miriam, 2012. "Divorce and the birth control pill," MPRA Paper 35955, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Mohammad Reza Farzanegan & Hassan Fereidouni Gholipour, 2016. "Divorce and the cost of housing: evidence from Iran," Review of Economics of the Household, Springer, vol. 14(4), pages 1029-1054, December.
    5. Rafael González-Val & Miriam Marcén, 2017. "Divorce and the business cycle: a cross-country analysis," Review of Economics of the Household, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 879-904, September.
    6. Tetyana Zubro, 2014. "Vnútropolitické Determinanty Krízovej Situácie Na Ukrajine," Almanach (Actual Issues in World Economics and Politics), Ekonomická univerzita, Fakulta medzinárodných vzťahov, vol. 9(1), pages 73-85.
    7. Emil Souleimanov & Josef Kraus, 2014. "Zahraniční Politika Ázerbajdžánu V Letech 1991-2004," Almanach (Actual Issues in World Economics and Politics), Ekonomická univerzita, Fakulta medzinárodných vzťahov, vol. 9(1), pages 36-61.
    8. Daša Adašková, 2014. "Recenzia - Ivančík, Radoslav A Jurčák, Vojtech: Mierové Operácie Vybraných Organizácií Medzinárodného Krízového Manažmentu," Almanach (Actual Issues in World Economics and Politics), Ekonomická univerzita, Fakulta medzinárodných vzťahov, vol. 9(1), pages 123-126.
    9. Rafael González†Val & Miriam Marcén, 2018. "Club Classification of US Divorce Rates," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 86(4), pages 512-532, July.
    10. Rafael González-Val & Miriam Marcén, 2015. "Regional unemployment, marriage, and divorce," Working Papers 2015/38, Institut d'Economia de Barcelona (IEB).
    11. González-Val, Rafael & Marcén, Miriam, 2012. "Unilateral divorce versus child custody and child support in the U.S," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 81(2), pages 613-643.
    12. Sanna Huikari & Marko Korhonen & Mikko Puhakka, 2016. "’Til booze do us part: alcohol consumption and marital dissolution," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 51(2), pages 831-852, September.
    13. Milan Lukáč, 2014. "Analýza Afrického Ťažobného Priemyslu," Almanach (Actual Issues in World Economics and Politics), Ekonomická univerzita, Fakulta medzinárodných vzťahov, vol. 9(1), pages 86-101.
    14. Lucia Borošová, 2014. "Severný Kaukaz Ako Destabilizujúci Región V Kontexte Vnútornej Bezpečnosti Ruskej Federácie," Almanach (Actual Issues in World Economics and Politics), Ekonomická univerzita, Fakulta medzinárodných vzťahov, vol. 9(1), pages 24-35.
    15. P. Wesley Routon, 2017. "Military service and marital dissolution: a trajectory analysis," Review of Economics of the Household, Springer, vol. 15(1), pages 335-355, March.
    16. Elena Delgadová, 2014. "Neverbálna Komunikácia V Medzinárodných Vzťahoch," Almanach (Actual Issues in World Economics and Politics), Ekonomická univerzita, Fakulta medzinárodných vzťahov, vol. 9(1), pages 102-122.
    17. Eva Jančíková, 2014. "Vplyv Remitencií Na Rozvoj Ekonomík," Almanach (Actual Issues in World Economics and Politics), Ekonomická univerzita, Fakulta medzinárodných vzťahov, vol. 9(1), pages 5-23.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    divorce; inflation; women’s educational attainment; economic growth; unemployment; structural time series; unobserved component models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J12 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Marriage; Marital Dissolution; Family Structure

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