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he Impact of Real Exchange Rates on Japanese Direct Investment in China's Manufacturing: An Empirical Assessment

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Abstract

This paper analyzes the role of real exchange rate in determining Japanese FDI in China. Using the data of Japanese direct investment in China's nine major manufacturing sectors from 1989 to 2000, the paper conducts regression analysis with both time series and panel data. The empirical results show that there exists a significantly positive correlation between the bilateral real exchange rate and the inflows of Japanese direct investment to China. Specifically, the appreciation of Yen generally stimulated the inflows of Japanese direct investment while the depreciation of Yen leading to a decrease of the investment. To a large extent, the rise and fall of Japanese direct investment in China over the period is attributed to the fluctuations of the bilateral real exchange rate. As the sharp devaluation of Yuan in early 1990s was triggered by merging China's official exchange rate with market rates, the policy shift on the exchange rate regime should be credited for the surge of FDI inflows.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuqing Xing, 2002. "he Impact of Real Exchange Rates on Japanese Direct Investment in China's Manufacturing: An Empirical Assessment," Working Papers EMS_2002_05, Research Institute, International University of Japan.
  • Handle: RePEc:iuj:wpaper:ems_2002_05
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    File URL: http://www.iuj.ac.jp/workingpapers/index.cfm?File=EMS_2002_05.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2002
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kojima, Kiyoshi, 1982. "Macroeconomic versus International Business Approach to Direct Foreign Investment," Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, Hitotsubashi University, vol. 23(1), pages 1-19, June.
    2. Blonigen, Bruce A, 1997. "Firm-Specific Assets and the Link between Exchange Rates and Foreign Direct Investment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 87(3), pages 447-465, June.
    3. Bayoumi, Tamim & Lipworth, Gabrielle, 1998. "Japanese foreign direct investment and regional trade," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 581-607.
    4. Dewenter, Kathryn L, 1995. "Do Exchange Rate Changes Drive Foreign Direct Investment?," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 68(3), pages 405-433, July.
    5. Chien-Hsun Chen, 1996. "Regional determinants of foreign direct investment in mainland China," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 23(2), pages 18-30, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    FDI; Exchange Rate; Manufacturing;

    JEL classification:

    • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East

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