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Non linearità e dinamica della dimensione d'impresa in Italia

  • Roberto Basile

    ()

    (ISAE - Institute for Studies and Economic Analyses)

  • Sergio de Nardis

    (ISAE - Institute for Studies and Economic Analyses)

Using a balanced longitudinal data set on Italian manufacturing firms born in 1996 and active in 2000, we analyse the firm size dynamics. The aim is to assess the presence of non-linearities and/or discontinuities in the growth behaviour generated by the employment protection legislation (EPL), which is much stricter for firms with more than 15 employees (“articolo 18 Statuto dei Lavoratori”). Local regression estimates suggest that firms with an initial size close to 15 employees are more reluctant to grow. Furthermore, conditional density estimates show that firms close to the 15 employees threshold are more likely to move backward than upward with respect to this threshold. We interpret these results as a necessary but not sufficient evidence of a negative effect of the EPL. Indeed, they could also be consistent with optimal choices of growth behaviour regardless the strictness of EPL.

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Paper provided by ISTAT - Italian National Institute of Statistics - (Rome, ITALY) in its series ISAE Working Papers with number 40.

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Length: 28 pages
Date of creation: Jan 2004
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:isa:wpaper:40
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  1. Francesca Lotti & Enrico Santarelli, 2001. "Industry Dynamics and the Distribution of Firm Sizes: A Non-Parametric Approach," LEM Papers Series 2001/14, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
  2. Pietro Garibaldi & Lia Pacelli & Andrea Borgarello, 2003. "Employment Protection Legislation and the Size of Firms," Working Papers 247, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
  3. Geroski, P. A., 1995. "What do we know about entry?," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 421-440, December.
  4. Lu�s M B Cabral & Jos� Mata, 2003. "On the Evolution of the Firm Size Distribution: Facts and Theory," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(4), pages 1075-1090, September.
  5. Jinyong Hahn & Petra Todd & Wilbert Van der Klaauw, 1999. "Evaluating the Effect of an Antidiscrimination Law Using a Regression-Discontinuity Design," NBER Working Papers 7131, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  6. Gianni Principe, 2003. "Soglie Dimensionali e Regolazione del Rapporto di Lavoro in Italia," ISAE Working Papers 36, ISTAT - Italian National Institute of Statistics - (Rome, ITALY).
  7. F. Lotti & E. Santarelli & M. Vivarelli, 1999. "Does Gibrat’s Law Hold in the Case of Young, Small Firms?," Working Papers 361, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
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