IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ind/igiwpp/2023-015.html

India's exchange rate regime under inflation targeting

Author

Listed:
  • Ashima Goyal

    (Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research)

Abstract

While the basic exchange rate regime has stayed the same since the liberalizing reforms of the nineties, its implementation has varied over the years. The paper assesses the evolution of India's nominal exchange rate regime and its suitability under inflation targeting. It also examines the evolving impact on trade, inflation, on currency and financial markets, country risk premium and the cost of borrowing. The analysis suggests a flexible exchange rate with intervention to prevent excess volatility as well as misalignment from competitive real exchange rates, while allowing some volatility to aid price discovery in foreign exchange markets, would work best in inflation targeting emerging markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Ashima Goyal, 2023. "India's exchange rate regime under inflation targeting," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2023-015, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
  • Handle: RePEc:ind:igiwpp:2023-015
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.igidr.ac.in/pdf/publication/WP-2023-015.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rees, Daniel M., 2025. "Commodity prices and the US dollar," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    2. Banerjee, Krittika & Goyal, Ashima, 2021. "Behavioural​ equilibrium real exchange rates and misalignments: Evidence from large emerging markets," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 414-436.
    3. Buffie, Edward F. & Airaudo, M. & Zanna, Felipe, 2018. "Inflation targeting and exchange rate management in less developed countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 159-184.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ashima Goyal, 2025. "Assessing inflation targeting in India," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2025-018, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    2. Sethi, Chandan & Mishra, Bibhuti Ranjan & Sethi, Dinabandhu, 2024. "Exploring the nexus between inflation targeting and exchange market pressure: Evidence from the global financial crisis," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 1359-1369.
    3. Iqbal, Javed & Mahmood, Fatima & Nosheen, Misbah & Wohar, Mark, 2023. "The asymmetric impact of exchange rate misalignment on economic growth of India: An application of Hodrick–Prescott filter technique," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 809-823.
    4. Ding, Shusheng & Zheng, Dandan & Cui, Tianxiang & Du, Min, 2023. "The oil price-inflation nexus: The exchange rate pass- through effect," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    5. Adina Ionela Străchinaru & Bogdan Andrei Dumitrescu, 2019. "Assessing the Sustainability of Inflation Targeting: Evidence from EU Countries with Non-EURO Currencies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(20), pages 1-13, October.
    6. Klaassen, Franc & Mavromatis, Kostas, 2024. "Exchange market pressure in interest rate rules," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    7. Martin T. Bohl & Niklas Humann & Pierre L. Siklos, 2026. "The Monetary Policy–Commodities Nexus: A Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(2), pages 1050-1082, April.
    8. Ashima Goyal & Rupayan Pal, 2022. "Global shocks and international policy coordination," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 13(4), pages 458-468, September.
    9. Chokri Zehri & Zagros Madjd‐Sadjadi, 2024. "Capital flow management and monetary policy to control credit growth," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(2), pages 637-676, July.
    10. Chrimes, Tommy & Gootjes, Bram & Kose, M. Ayhan & Wheeler, Collette, 2024. "The Great Reversal," CEPR Discussion Papers 19090, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    11. Rong Li & Dongzhou Mei & Bing Tong, 2024. "Gradual Portfolio Adjustment, Foreign Exchange Intervention, and Open Market Operations," CFDS Discussion Paper Series 2024/6, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China.
    12. Krittika Banerjee & Ashima Goyal, 2024. "New perspectives on the rise and fall of global imbalances: evidence from large emerging market economies," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 160(2), pages 541-583, May.
    13. Piotr Szczepocki & Ewa Feder-Sempach & Joanna Bogołębska, 2026. "Precious Metals or Currencies? Which Perform Better as Hedge and Safe-Haven Assets Against the Polish Capital Market in Times of Elevated Risk?," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 2, pages 1-21.
    14. Kuan‐jen Chen & Ching‐chong Lai & Ting‐wei Lai, 2021. "Macroeconomic instability and targeting rules for monetary policy in an endogenously growing small open economy," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(4), pages 904-926, September.
    15. Arsić, Milojko & Mladenović, Zorica & Nojković, Aleksandra, 2022. "Macroeconomic performance of inflation targeting in European and Asian emerging economies," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 44(3), pages 675-700.
    16. Prabheesh, K.P. & Prakash, Branesh & Vuniivi, Viliame, 2023. "Assessment of Fiji’s exchange rate," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1282-1305.
    17. Adler, Gustavo & Chang, Kyun Suk & Wang, Zijiao, 2021. "Patterns of foreign exchange intervention under inflation targeting," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 2(4).
    18. Iuga, Iulia Cristina & Mudakkar, Syeda Rabab & Dragolea, Larisa Loredana, 2024. "Agricultural commodities market reaction to COVID-19," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    19. Wei, Wei & Tang, Zefeng, 2025. "RMB equilibrium exchange rate and misalignment: Insights from the CN-NATREX Model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    20. Saurabh Ghosh & Siddhartha Nath & Sauhard Srivastava, 2023. "Productivity and real exchange rates for India: does Balassa-Samuelson effect explain?," Indian Growth and Development Review, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 16(1), pages 41-73, January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ind:igiwpp:2023-015. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Shamprasad M. Pujar (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/igidrin.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.