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¿Se incrementa la vulnerabilidad financiera con una política monetaria expansiva prolongada?

Author

Listed:
  • Stephen Cecchetti
  • Mr. Tommaso Mancini-Griffoli
  • Mr. Machiko Narita

Abstract

Usando datos a nivel de empresa correspondientes a aproximadamente 1.000 bancos e instituciones financieras no bancarias en 22 países en los últimos 15 años, estudiamos el impacto de la aplicación prolongada de una política monetaria expansiva en la conducta relacionada con la toma de riesgos. Observamos que el coeficiente de endeudamiento, así como otros indicadores de la vulnerabilidad a nivel de las empresas, aumenta para para los bancos y las entidades no bancarias internas mientras persiste la política monetaria expansiva en el país. Los efectos transfronterizos también son notables. Observamos efectos de magnitud más o menos similar en empresas extranjeras del sector financiero cuando Estados Unidos adopta una política menos restrictiva. Los resultados parecen ser robustos frente a una variedad de especificaciones, y parecen ser no lineales, y se observa que el comportamiento de toma de riesgos aumenta más rápidamente cuando empieza a aplicarse la política de expansión monetaria.

Suggested Citation

  • Stephen Cecchetti & Mr. Tommaso Mancini-Griffoli & Mr. Machiko Narita, 2017. "¿Se incrementa la vulnerabilidad financiera con una política monetaria expansiva prolongada?," IMF Working Papers 2017/065, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2017/065
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    2. Wischnewsky Arina & Neuenkirch Matthias, 2021. "Shadow banks and the risk-taking channel of monetary policy transmission in the euro area," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 22(1), pages 97-128, February.
    3. Claudio Borio & Boris Hofmann, 2017. "Is Monetary Policy Less Effective When Interest Rates Are Persistently Low?," RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), in: Jonathan Hambur & John Simon (ed.),Monetary Policy and Financial Stability in a World of Low Interest Rates, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    4. Stephen G. Cecchetti & Tommaso Mancini-Griffoli & Machiko Narita & Ratna Sahay, 2020. "US or Domestic Monetary Policy: Which Matters More for Financial Stability?," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 68(1), pages 35-65, March.
    5. Patrick Hendy & Benjamin Beckers, 2024. "How Do Global Shocks Affect Australia?," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2024-10, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    6. Rafiq Ahmed & Syed Tehseen Jawaid & Samina Khalil, 2021. "Bubble Detection in Housing Market: Evidence From a Developing Country," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(2), pages 21582440211, April.
    7. Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas & Hélène Rey & Maxime Sauzet, 2019. "The International Monetary and Financial System," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 11(1), pages 859-893, August.
    8. Hartwell Christopher A., 2019. "Complexity, Uncertainty, and Monetary Policy: Can the ECB Avoid the Unconventional Becoming the ‘New Normal’?," The Economists' Voice, De Gruyter, vol. 16(1), pages 1-13, December.
    9. Flores Zendejas, Juan & Gaillard, Norbert, 2021. "The International Lender of Last Resort Between Scylla and Charybdis," Working Papers unige:152743, University of Geneva, Paul Bairoch Institute of Economic History.
    10. Agur, Itai & Demertzis, Maria, 2019. "Will macroprudential policy counteract monetary policy’s effects on financial stability?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 65-75.
    11. Francesco Marchionne & Noemi Giampaoli & Matteo Renghini, 2024. "Institutions and financial crises," Mo.Fi.R. Working Papers 187, Money and Finance Research group (Mo.Fi.R.) - Univ. Politecnica Marche - Dept. Economic and Social Sciences.
    12. J. Sebastian Amador-Torres & Jose Eduardo Gomez-Gonzalez & Sebastian Sanin-Restrepo, 2017. "I know what you did during the last bubble: Determinants of housing bubbles' duration in OECD countries," Borradores de Economia 1005, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    13. Margaux MacDonald & Michał Ksawery Popiel, 2020. "Unconventional Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 31(5), pages 1061-1115, November.
    14. Hermans, Lieven & Kostka, Thomas & Vassallo, Danilo, 2023. "Asset allocation and risk taking under different interest rate regimes," Working Paper Series 2803, European Central Bank.
    15. Agur, Itai, 2019. "Monetary and macroprudential policy coordination among multiple equilibria," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 192-209.
    16. Giovanni Dell'Ariccia & Karl Habermeier & Vikram Haksar & Tommaso Mancini-Griffoli, 2017. "Monetary Policy and Financial Stability," RBA Annual Conference Volume (Discontinued), in: Jonathan Hambur & John Simon (ed.),Monetary Policy and Financial Stability in a World of Low Interest Rates, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    17. Paola Morales-Acevedo, 2019. "Spillover Effects of Foreign Monetary Policy on the Foreign Indebtedness of Banks and Corporations," IHEID Working Papers 17-2019, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies, revised 05 Nov 2019.
    18. Czerniak, Adam & Borowski, Jakub & Boratyński, Jakub & Rosati, Dariusz, 2020. "Asset price bubbles in a monetary union: Mind the convergence gap," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 288-302.
    19. Martin Hodula & Martin Macháček & Aleš Melecký, . "Placing the Czech Shadow Banking Sector under the Light," Prague Economic Papers, University of Economics, Prague, vol. 0, pages 1-25.

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