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Emerging from recession? Future prospects for the Irish economy 2012-2020

  • John Bradley

    ()

    (EMDS - Economic Modelling and Development Strategies)

  • Gerhard Untiedt

    ()

    (GEFRA - Gesellschaft fuer Finanz- und Regionalanalysen)

How will Ireland emerge from recession and what path will the development take? In our recently published paper about the future prospects of the Irish economy we analyse and forecast using the HERMIN model of the Irish economy. The key message is that it will be a painful and slow recovery and that mainly the production side of the economy matters.

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File URL: http://www.herminonline.net/images/downloads/hep/hep-4-2012.pdf
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Paper provided by HERMIN in its series HERMIN Economic Papers with number 4-2012.

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Length: 102 pages
Date of creation: 20 Aug 2012
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:hrm:wpaper:4-2012
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.herminonline.netEmail:


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  1. Giavazzi, Francesco & Pagano, Marco, 1990. "Can Severe Fiscal Contractions Be Expansionary? Tales of Two Small European Countries," CEPR Discussion Papers 417, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  2. McQuinn, Kieran & O'Reilly, Gerard, 2006. "Assessing the Role of Income and Interest Rates in Determining House Prices," Research Technical Papers 15/RT/06, Central Bank of Ireland.
  3. Bradley, John & FitzGerald, John, 1991. "The ESRI Medium-Term Economic Model," Book Chapters, in: Medium-Term Review: 1991-1996, pages 73-78 Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
  4. Bradley, John & Fanning, Connell & Prendergast, Canice & Wynne, Mark, 1985. "Medium-Term Analysis of Fiscal Policy in Ireland: A Macroeconometric Study of the Period 1967-1980," Research Series, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number GRS122.
  5. Roche, Maurice, 2003. "Will there be a Crash in Irish House Prices?," Quarterly Economic Commentary: Special Articles, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), vol. 2003(4-Winter), pages 1-16.
  6. Bradley, John & Whelan, Karl, 1997. "The Irish expansionary fiscal contraction: A tale from one small European economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 14(2), pages 175-201, April.
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