IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hhb/hastba/2004_015.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Continuing Value in Firm Valuation by the Discounted Cash Flow Model

Author

Listed:
  • Jennergren, L. Peter

    (Dept. of Business Administration, Stockholm School of Economics)

Abstract

The discounted cash flow model, like other firm valuation models, proceeds in two periods. For each year in the explicit forecast period, there is an individual forecast of free cash flow. On the other hand, all of the years in the post-horizon period are represented through one single continuing value formula, being the steady-state value of the firm's productive assets at the horizon. Continuing value is typically derived by applying the Gordon formula to a simple extrapolation of free cash flow at the end of the explicit forecast period. This paper examines the components of continuing value, in particular capital expenditures and tax savings due to depreciation of property, plant and equipment (PPE). The estimation of two somewhat elusive parameters related to capital expenditures, equipment economic life and capital intensity, is discussed. A further analysis indicates that a substantial part of continuing value derives from cash flow associated with already acquired equipment. Also, the error resulting from assuming steady-state rather than lumpy capital expenditures is identified. Implementation issues relating to the explicit forecast period are also commented on.

Suggested Citation

  • Jennergren, L. Peter, 2004. "Continuing Value in Firm Valuation by the Discounted Cash Flow Model," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Business Administration 2004:15, Stockholm School of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:hhb:hastba:2004_015
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
    1. Check below whether another version of this item is available online.
    2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
    3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Fernández , Pablo, 2002. "Valuing companies by cash flow discounting: Ten methods and nine theories," IESE Research Papers D/451, IESE Business School.
    2. Ohlson, J.A. & Zhang, X.-J., 1997. "On the Theory of Forecast-Horizon in Equity Valuation," Papers 97-14, Columbia - Graduate School of Business.
    3. Ohlson, JA & Zhang, XJ, 1999. "On the theory of forecast horizon in equity valuation," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(2), pages 437-449.
    4. Russell Lundholm & Terry O'Keefe, 2001. "Reconciling Value Estimates from the Discounted Cash Flow Model and the Residual Income Model," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 18(2), pages 311-335, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jonek-Kowalska, Izabela, 2018. "How do turbulent sectoral conditions sector influence the value of coal mining enterprises? Perspectives from the Central-Eastern Europe coal mining industry," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 103-112.
    2. Jennergren L. Peter, 2013. "Firm Valuation with Bankruptcy Risk," Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis, De Gruyter, vol. 8(1), pages 91-131, October.
    3. Jennergren L. Peter, 2010. "On the Forecasting of Net Property, Plant and Equipment and Depreciation in Firm Valuation by the Discounted Cash Flow Model," Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis, De Gruyter, vol. 5(1), pages 1-28, November.
    4. Jennergren, L. Peter, 1998. "A Tutorial on the Discounted Cash Flow Model for Valuation of Companies," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Business Administration 1, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 13 Dec 2011.
    5. Jennergren, L. Peter, 2011. "Value Driver Formulas for Continuing Value in the Discounted Cash Flow Model," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Business Administration 2011:5, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 30 May 2012.
    6. Reis Pedro Nogueira & Augusto Mário Gomes, 2015. "What Is a Firm’s Life Expectancy? Empirical Evidence in the Context of Portuguese Companies," Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 45-75, January.
    7. Damiano Montani & Francesco Perrini & Daniele Gervasio & Andrea Pulcini, 2017. "The Importance of “Contextualisation” in Small and Medium-Sized Firms Valuation: Evidences from an Italian Case Study," International Journal of Business and Management, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 13(1), pages 1-70, December.
    8. Behr Adam & Mielcarz Paweł & Osiichuk Dmytro, 2018. "Terminal Value Calculation in DCF Valuation Models: An Empirical Verification," Financial Internet Quarterly (formerly e-Finanse), Sciendo, vol. 14(1), pages 27-38, March.
    9. Rajesh Kumar & Sujit Sukumaran, 2019. "Determinants of Value Creation in Emerging Market Firms ¨C¨C An Empirical Examination," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 17, pages 79-92, August.
    10. Jennergren, L. Peter, 2009. "On the forecasting of lease expense in firm valuation," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Business Administration 2009:12, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 22 Feb 2010.
    11. Jennergren L. Peter, 2011. "Approximate Firm Valuation with Operating Leases," Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis, De Gruyter, vol. 6(1), pages 1-22, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jennergren, L. Peter, 2008. "Continuing value in firm valuation by the discounted cash flow model," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 185(3), pages 1548-1563, March.
    2. José Maria Codosero Rodas & José Manuel Naranjo Gómez & Rui Alexandre Castanho & José Cabezas, 2018. "Land Valuation Sustainable Model of Urban Planning Development: A Case Study in Badajoz, Spain," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-18, May.
    3. Joy Begley & Gerald A. Feltham, 2002. "The Relation between Market Values, Earnings Forecasts, and Reported Earnings," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 19(1), pages 1-48, March.
    4. Zhang, Xiao-Jun, 2000. "Conservative accounting and equity valuation," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 125-149, February.
    5. Shigufta Hena Uzma & J.P. Singh & Naveen Kumar, 2010. "Discounted Cash Flow and Its Implication on Intangible Valuation," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 11(3), pages 365-377, October.
    6. Magni, Carlo Alberto, 2009. "Splitting up value: A critical review of residual income theories," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 198(1), pages 1-22, October.
    7. Jack Stecher & Mark Atten, 2015. "Using Brouwer’s continuity principle to pick stocks," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 225(1), pages 161-171, February.
    8. Khaled Aljifri & Hafiz Imtiaz Ahmad, 2019. "Preferred Valuation Techniques in the UAE: A Comparative Study of Financial and Nonfinancial Sectors," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 9(1), pages 51-59.
    9. Susanti Widhiastuti & Etty Murwaningsari & Sekar Mayangsari, 2018. "The Effect of Business Intelligence and Intellectuals Capital of Company Value Moderated by Management of Profit Riil," Journal of Accounting, Business and Finance Research, Scientific Publishing Institute, vol. 2(2), pages 64-78.
    10. Jennergren, L. Peter, 1998. "A Tutorial on the Discounted Cash Flow Model for Valuation of Companies," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Business Administration 1, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 13 Dec 2011.
    11. Fernandez, Pablo, 2003. "Three residual income valuation methods and discounted cash flow valuation," IESE Research Papers D/487, IESE Business School.
    12. Markus Buxbaum & Wolfgang Schultze & Samuel L. Tiras, 2023. "Do analysts’ target prices stabilize the stock market?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 61(3), pages 763-816, October.
    13. Marc Deloof & Wouter De Maeseneire & Koen Inghelbrecht, 2009. "How Do Investment Banks Value Initial Public Offerings (IPOs)?," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(1‐2), pages 130-160, January.
    14. Russell J. Lundholm & Terrence B. O'Keefe, 2001. "On Comparing Residual Income and Discounted Cash Flow Models of Equity Valuation: A Response to Penman 2001 (CAR, Winter 2001)," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 18(4), pages 693-696, December.
    15. Patrick Boisselier & Dominique Dufour, 2007. "Comptabilite Et Valorisation A L'Introduction Sur Alternext (2005-2006)," Post-Print halshs-00544917, HAL.
    16. Jennergren L. Peter, 2010. "On the Forecasting of Net Property, Plant and Equipment and Depreciation in Firm Valuation by the Discounted Cash Flow Model," Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis, De Gruyter, vol. 5(1), pages 1-28, November.
    17. Emanuel Bagna & Grazia Dicuonzo & Andrea Perrone & Vittorio Dell’Atti, 2017. "The value relevance of brand valuation," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(58), pages 5865-5876, December.
    18. Daniel Kreutzmann & Soenke Sievers & Christian Mueller, 2013. "Investment distortions and the value of the government's tax claim," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(11), pages 977-989, June.
    19. Wessel M Badenhorst & Rieka von Well, 2023. "The Value‐relevance of Fair Value Measurement for Inventories," Australian Accounting Review, CPA Australia, vol. 33(2), pages 135-159, June.
    20. Marcel Ausloos, 2020. "Valuation Models Applied to Value-Based Management—Application to the Case of UK Companies with Problems," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 2(4), pages 1-17, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hhb:hastba:2004_015. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Helena Lundin (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/erhhsse.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.