On the forecasting of lease expense in firm valuation
The forecasting of operating lease expense in valuation models like the discounted dividends model is more complex than the forecasting of non-lease cash operating expense. The reason is that lease expense depends on past real growth and inflation, due to the long lives of the leased assets, whereas non-lease cash operating expense depends only on this year's nominal sales revenue. Naive forecasting (as if lease expense depends only on current nominal sales revenue) can have a noticeable impact on the calculated value of the equity, if the company is a heavy user of leased equipment and has experienced rapid real growth in recent years. It is shown how lease expense can be forecasted, without capitalizing, in a fashion that does take into account the dependence on past real growth and inflation. Operational leases also affect the cost of capital for discounting, since they represent debt, even if not capitalized. Hence they enter into the financing structure that goes into the cost of capital. An illustrative stylized example is used throughout.
To our knowledge, this item is not available for
download. To find whether it is available, there are three
1. Check below under "Related research" whether another version of this item is available online.
2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.
|Date of creation:||29 Jun 2009|
|Date of revision:||02 Dec 2009|
|Publication status:||Published as Jennergren, L. Peter, 'On the Forecasting of Net Property, Plant and Equipment and Depreciation in Firm Valuation by the Discounted Cash Flow Model' in Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis, 2010.|
|Note:||The first part of this working paper has been revised and published. The second part of this working paper has been revised and put into S-WoBA 2011:3.|
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: The Economic Research Institute, Stockholm School of Economics, P.O. Box 6501, SE 113 83 Stockholm, Sweden|
Phone: +46-(0)8-736 90 00
Fax: +46-(0)8-31 01 57
Web page: http://www.hhs.se/
More information through EDIRC
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Jennergren, L. Peter, 2004. "Continuing Value in Firm Valuation by the Discounted Cash Flow Model," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Business Administration 2004:15, Stockholm School of Economics.
- Yard, Stefan, 2004. "Costing fixed assets in Swedish municipalities: Effects of changing calculation methods," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 1-15, January.
- Jennergren, L. Peter, 2008. "Continuing value in firm valuation by the discounted cash flow model," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 185(3), pages 1548-1563, March.
- Jennergren, L. Peter, 1998. "A Tutorial on the Discounted Cash Flow Model for Valuation of Companies," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Business Administration 1, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 22 Jun 1999.
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hhb:hastba:2009_012. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Helena Lundin)
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.