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Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis of the Human Development Index


  • Milorad Kovacevic

    () (Human Development Report Office, UNDP)

  • Clara García Aguña

    () (Human Development Report Office, UNDP)


This paper discusses the methodological judgments made during the development of the Human Development Index (HDI), and analyzes the quantitative and qualitative impact of different methodological choices on the HDI scores, as well as on the associated changes in ranking. This analysis is particularly pertinent this year, in light of the methodological refinements that have been implemented with the occasion of the HDI 20th anniversary.

Suggested Citation

  • Milorad Kovacevic & Clara García Aguña, 2010. "Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis of the Human Development Index," Human Development Research Papers (2009 to present) HDRP-2010-47, Human Development Report Office (HDRO), United Nations Development Programme (UNDP).
  • Handle: RePEc:hdr:papers:hdrp-2010-47

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    Cited by:

    1. Otero, Gerardo & Pechlaner, Gabriela & Liberman, Giselle & Gürcan, Efe, 2015. "The neoliberal diet and inequality in the United States," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 47-55.
    2. Tommaso Luzzati, Bruno Cheli, Gianluca Gucciardi, 2017. "Communicating the uncertainty of synthetic indicators: a reassessment of the HDI ranking," Discussion Papers 2017/228, Dipartimento di Economia e Management (DEM), University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy.
    3. repec:gam:jlands:v:6:y:2017:i:3:p:62-:d:111957 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item


    Index Numbers and Aggregation; Methodological Issues; Statistical Simulation Methods; Human Development;

    JEL classification:

    • C43 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Index Numbers and Aggregation
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C18 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Methodolical Issues: General
    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration

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