IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hal/wpaper/hal-04046454.html

Covariance matrix estimation for robust portfolio allocation

Author

Listed:
  • Ahmad W. Bitar

    (LIST3N - MSAD - LIST3N - Modélisation, stochastique, apprentissage et décision - LIST3N - Laboratoire Informatique et Société Numérique - UTT - Université de Technologie de Troyes, CentraleSupélec)

  • Nathan de Carvalho

    (UPCité - Université Paris Cité, CentraleSupélec, Engie Global Markets)

  • Valentin Gatignol

    (Qube Research and Technologies, CentraleSupélec)

Abstract

In this technical report , we aim to combine different protfolio allocation techniques with covariance matrix estimators to meet two types of clients' requirements: client A who wants to invest money wisely, not taking too much risk, and not willing to pay too much in rebalancing fees; and client B who wants to make money quickly, benefit from market's short-term volatility, and ready to pay rebalancing fees. Four portfolio techniques are considered (mean-variance, robust portfolio, minimum-variance, and equi-risk budgeting), and four covariance estimators are applied (sample covariance, ordinary least squares (OLS) covariance, cross-validated eigenvalue shrinkage covariance, and eigenvalue clipping). Some comparisons between the covariance estimators in terms of eigenvalue stability and four metrics (i.e. expected risk, gross leverage, Sharpe ratio and effective diversification) exhibit the superiority of the eigenvalue clipping covariance estimator. The experiments on the Russel1000 dataset show that the minimum-variance with eigenvalue clipping is the model suitable for client A, whereas robust portfolio with eigenvalue clipping is the one suitable for client B.

Suggested Citation

  • Ahmad W. Bitar & Nathan de Carvalho & Valentin Gatignol, 2023. "Covariance matrix estimation for robust portfolio allocation," Working Papers hal-04046454, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-04046454
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://centralesupelec.hal.science/hal-04046454v2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://centralesupelec.hal.science/hal-04046454v2/document
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. repec:dau:papers:123456789/4688 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Kempf, Alexander & Memmel, Christoph, 2005. "On the estimation of the global minimum variance portfolio," CFR Working Papers 05-02, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
    3. R.H. Tütüncü & M. Koenig, 2004. "Robust Asset Allocation," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 132(1), pages 157-187, November.
    4. repec:hal:wpaper:hal-02506848 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Taylor, Alan M. & Sufi, Amir, 2021. "Financial crises: A survey," CEPR Discussion Papers 16450, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    6. Laurent Laloux & Pierre Cizeau & Marc Potters & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2000. "Random Matrix Theory And Financial Correlations," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(03), pages 391-397.
    7. Harry Markowitz, 1952. "Portfolio Selection," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 7(1), pages 77-91, March.
    8. Christian Bongiorno & Damien Challet, 2021. "Covariance matrix filtering with bootstrapped hierarchies," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(1), pages 1-13, January.
    9. Joël Bun & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Marc Potters, 2017. "Cleaning large correlation matrices: tools from random matrix theory," Post-Print hal-01491304, HAL.
    10. repec:hal:wpaper:hal-03481441 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. C. Yin & R. Perchet & F. Soupé, 2021. "A practical guide to robust portfolio optimization," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(6), pages 911-928, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Christian Bongiorno & Efstratios Manolakis & Rosario Nunzio Mantegna, 2025. "End-to-End Large Portfolio Optimization for Variance Minimization with Neural Networks through Covariance Cleaning," Papers 2507.01918, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2025.
    2. Plachel, Lukas, 2019. "A unified model for regularized and robust portfolio optimization," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    3. Juan F. Monge & Mercedes Landete & Jos'e L. Ruiz, 2016. "Sharpe portfolio using a cross-efficiency evaluation," Papers 1610.00937, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2016.
    4. Emmanuelle Jay & Thibault Soler & Eugénie Terreaux & Jean-Philippe Ovarlez & Frédéric Pascal & Philippe de Peretti & Christophe Chorro, 2020. "Improving portfolios global performance using a cleaned and robust covariance matrix estimate," Post-Print hal-02508748, HAL.
    5. Mainik, Georg & Mitov, Georgi & Rüschendorf, Ludger, 2015. "Portfolio optimization for heavy-tailed assets: Extreme Risk Index vs. Markowitz," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 115-134.
    6. Jang Ho Kim & Woo Chang Kim & Frank J. Fabozzi, 2017. "Penalizing variances for higher dependency on factors," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(4), pages 479-489, April.
    7. Georg Mainik & Georgi Mitov & Ludger Ruschendorf, 2015. "Portfolio optimization for heavy-tailed assets: Extreme Risk Index vs. Markowitz," Papers 1505.04045, arXiv.org.
    8. Ashrafi, Hedieh & Thiele, Aurélie C., 2021. "A study of robust portfolio optimization with European options using polyhedral uncertainty sets," Operations Research Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 8(C).
    9. Civitarese, Jamil, 2016. "Volatility and correlation-based systemic risk measures in the US market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 459(C), pages 55-67.
    10. Bazovkin, Pavel, 2014. "Geometrical framework for robust portfolio optimization," Discussion Papers in Econometrics and Statistics 01/14, University of Cologne, Institute of Econometrics and Statistics.
    11. Bommarito, Michael J. & Duran, Ahmet, 2018. "Spectral analysis of time-dependent market-adjusted return correlation matrix," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 503(C), pages 273-282.
    12. Kolm, Petter N. & Tütüncü, Reha & Fabozzi, Frank J., 2014. "60 Years of portfolio optimization: Practical challenges and current trends," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 234(2), pages 356-371.
    13. Zapata Quimbayo, Carlos Andres & Carmona Espejo, Diego Felipe & Gamboa Hidalgo, Jhonatan, 2025. "Robust Bayesian portfolio optimization," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    14. Christian Bongiorno & Damien Challet, 2023. "The Oracle estimator is suboptimal for global minimum variance portfolio optimisation," Post-Print hal-03491913, HAL.
    15. Jovanovic, Franck & Mantegna, Rosario N. & Schinckus, Christophe, 2019. "When financial economics influences physics: The role of Econophysics," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    16. Tu, Xueyong & Li, Bin, 2024. "Robust portfolio selection with smart return prediction," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    17. An Pham Ngoc Nguyen & Marija Bezbradica & Martin Crane, 2025. "Community-level Contagion among Diverse Financial Assets," Papers 2509.15232, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2026.
    18. Flint, Emlyn & Polakow, Daniel, 2023. "Deconstructing the Gerber statistic," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    19. Sehgal, Ruchika & Sharma, Amita & Mansini, Renata, 2023. "Worst-case analysis of Omega-VaR ratio optimization model," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    20. Harris, Richard D.F. & Stoja, Evarist & Tan, Linzhi, 2017. "The dynamic Black–Litterman approach to asset allocation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 259(3), pages 1085-1096.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-04046454. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CCSD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.