IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hal/journl/halshs-00189225.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Inflation targeting drawbacks in the absence of a 'natural' anchor

Author

Listed:
  • Angel Asensio

    (CEPN - Centre d'Economie de l'Université Paris Nord (ancienne affiliation) - UP13 - Université Paris 13 - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

The economic performances of the Eurozone look weaker than those of the United States overthe period 1999-2006, in spite of the fact that the former applies more thoroughly the 'newmacroeconomics' governance rules concerning public deficits and inflation control. Theliterature emphasizes Alan Greenspan's pragmatism when discussing the relative success ofthe Fed, but the reasons why pragmatism ought to do better than a thorough application of the'new macroeconomics' theoretical recommendations remain unexplored. The paper focuses onthe advantage of monetary policy pragmatism in the face of Keynesian uncertainty. Morespecifically, it points out the trials of the 'new macroeconomics' principles of monetary policywhen they are implemented in a Keynesian context, that is, within a system which does nothave any 'natural' anchor.

Suggested Citation

  • Angel Asensio, 2007. "Inflation targeting drawbacks in the absence of a 'natural' anchor," Post-Print halshs-00189225, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00189225
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00189225
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00189225/document
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Tobin, James, 1975. "Keynesian Models of Recession and Depression," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 65(2), pages 195-202, May.
    2. Mordecai Kurz & Maurizio Motolese, "undated". "Endogenous Uncertainty and Market Volatility," Working Papers 99005, Stanford University, Department of Economics.
    3. Paul Davidson, 1994. "Post Keynesian Macroeconomic Theory," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 124.
    4. Evans, George W. & Ramey, Garey, 2006. "Adaptive expectations, underparameterization and the Lucas critique," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(2), pages 249-264, March.
    5. Preston, Bruce, 2006. "Adaptive learning, forecast-based instrument rules and monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(3), pages 507-535, April.
    6. Philip Arestis & Malcolm Sawyer, 2003. "Inflation Targeting: A Critical Appraisal," Macroeconomics 0309015, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. L. Randall Wray, 2005. "Monetary Policy Strategies of the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve Bank of the U.S," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_431, Levy Economics Institute.
    8. Jérôme Creel & Jacky Fayolle, 2002. "La Banque Centrale Européenne ou le Seigneur des euros," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(5), pages 175-210.
    9. repec:adr:anecst:y:2002:i:67-68:p:05 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Hinich, Melvin J. & Foster, John & Wild, Phillip, 2006. "Structural change in macroeconomic time series: A complex systems perspective," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 136-150, March.
    11. Edwin Heron, 2007. "The New Governance in Monetary Policy: A Critical Appraisal of the Fed and the ECB," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Philip Arestis & Eckhard Hein & Edwin Heron (ed.), Aspects of Modern Monetary and Macroeconomic Policies, chapter 9, pages 146-171, Palgrave Macmillan.
    12. Edwin Le Heron, 2006. "Alan Greenspan, the confidence strategy," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Center of Political Economy, vol. 26(4), pages 502-517.
    13. Paul Davidson, 2006. "Can, or should, a central bank inflation target?," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(4), pages 689-703.
    14. repec:hal:wpspec:info:hdl:2441/3004 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/2967 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. David H. Romer, 2000. "Keynesian Macroeconomics without the LM Curve," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 14(2), pages 149-169, Spring.
    17. Thomas I. Palley, 2001. "The Role of Institutions and Policies in Creating High European," Macroeconomics 0108007, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Philip Arestis & Eckhard Hein & Edwin Le Héron, 2007. "Aspects of Modern Monetary and Macroeconomic Policies," Post-Print halshs-00155170, HAL.
    19. Philip Arestis & Georgios Chortareas, 2007. "Natural equilibrium real interest rate estimates and monetary policy design," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 621-643.
    20. Kurz, Mordecai, 1994. "On the Structure and Diversity of Rational Beliefs," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 4(6), pages 877-900, October.
    21. Thomas I. Palley, "undated". "The Role of Institutions and Policies in Creating High European Unemployment: The Evidence," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_336, Levy Economics Institute.
    22. Edwin Le Héron, 2007. "The New Governance in Monetary Policy: A Critical Appraisal of the Fed and the ECB," Post-Print halshs-00155173, HAL.
    23. Giuseppe Fontana, 2006. "The Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank: a theoretical comparison of their legislative mandates," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(3), pages 433-450.
    24. Louis-Philippe Rochon, 2006. "The more things change . . . inflation targeting and central bank policy," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(4), pages 551-558.
    25. Philip Arestis, 2006. "New Monetary Policy and Keynes," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 3(2), pages 245-262.
    26. Roger E. A. Farmer, 2002. "Why Does Data Reject the Lucas Critique," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 67-68, pages 111-129.
    27. James K. Galbraith, 2006. "Endogenous doctrine, or, why is monetary policy in America so much better than in Europe?," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(3), pages 423-432.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Angel Asensio, 2011. "Inflation Targeting Drawbacks in the Absence of a ‘Natural’ Anchor: A Keynesian Appraisal of the Fed and ECB Policies from 1999 to 2006," Chapters, in: Claude Gnos & Louis-Philippe Rochon (ed.), Credit, Money and Macroeconomic Policy, chapter 11, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    2. Angel Asensio, 2008. "The growing evidence of Keynes's methodology advantage and its consequences within the four macro-markets framework," Post-Print halshs-00189221, HAL.
    3. Angel Asensio, 2008. "(Post) Keynesian alternative to inflation targeting," Post-Print halshs-00335560, HAL.
    4. Angel Asensio, 2012. "On Keynes’s Seminal Innovation and Related Essential Features: Revisiting the Notion of Equilibrium in The General Theory," Chapters, in: Thomas Cate (ed.), Keynes’s General Theory, chapter 1, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    5. Angel Asensio, 2013. "Teaching Keynes’s theory to neoclassically formed minds," Chapters, in: Jesper Jespersen & Mogens Ove Madsen (ed.), Teaching Post Keynesian Economics, chapter 10, pages 163-186, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    6. Carlo Panico & Marco Piccioni, 2016. "Keynes on Central Bank Independence," STUDI ECONOMICI, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2016(118-119-1), pages 190-216.
    7. Eckhard Hein & Christian Schoder, 2011. "Interest rates, distribution and capital accumulation -- A post-Kaleckian perspective on the US and Germany," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(6), pages 693-723, November.
    8. Angel Asensio, 2005. "Monetary and budgetary-fiscal policy interactions in a Keynesian context: revisiting macroeconomic governance," Post-Print halshs-00139029, HAL.
    9. Eckhard Hein, 2017. "Post-Keynesian macroeconomics since the mid 1990s: main developments," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 14(2), pages 131-172, September.
    10. Jan Korda, 2010. "Komparace nového konsensu jako teoretického rámce cílování inflace s postkeynesovskou ekonomií [A Comparison of New Consensus as a Theoretical Framework of Inflation Targeting with Post-Keynesian E," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2010(1), pages 92-104.
    11. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2007_032 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Angel Asensio, 2009. "Between the cup and the lip," Working Papers halshs-00496911, HAL.
    13. Paul De Grauwe & Marianna Grimaldi, 2004. "Bubbles and Crashes in a Behavioural Finance Model," CESifo Working Paper Series 1194, CESifo.
    14. Kurz, Mordecai, 2008. "Beauty contests under private information and diverse beliefs: How different?," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(7-8), pages 762-784, July.
    15. Guidolin, Massimo & Timmermann, Allan, 2007. "Properties of equilibrium asset prices under alternative learning schemes," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 161-217, January.
    16. Kurz, Mordecai & Jin, Hehui & Motolese, Maurizio, 2005. "The role of expectations in economic fluctuations and the efficacy of monetary policy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 29(11), pages 2017-2065, November.
    17. Paul De Grauwe & Marianna Grimaldi, 2003. "Intervention in the Foreign Exchange Market in a Model with Noise Traders," Working Papers 162003, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    18. Kurz, Mordecai & Piccillo, Giulia & Wu, Howei, 2013. "Modeling diverse expectations in an aggregated New Keynesian Model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(8), pages 1403-1433.
    19. William Branch & Bruce McGough, 2011. "Business cycle amplification with heterogeneous expectations," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 47(2), pages 395-421, June.
    20. Hiroyuki Nakata, 2013. "Welfare effects of short-sale constraints under heterogeneous beliefs," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 53(2), pages 283-314, June.
    21. Koutsobinas, Theodore, 2011. "Animal spirits, liquidity-preference and Keynesian behavioural macroeconomics: An intertemporal framework," MPRA Paper 43027, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary policy; Post Keynesian; Uncertainty;
    All these keywords.

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00189225. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CCSD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.