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How to spend a dwindling greenhouse gas budget

Author

Listed:
  • Michael Obersteiner

    (IIASA - International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis [Laxenburg])

  • Johannes Bednar

    (IIASA - International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis [Laxenburg])

  • Fabian Wagner

    (IIASA - International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis [Laxenburg], Princeton University)

  • Thomas Gasser

    (IIASA - International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis [Laxenburg])

  • Philippe Ciais

    (LSCE - Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement [Gif-sur-Yvette] - UVSQ - Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines - INSU - CNRS - Institut national des sciences de l'Univers - Université Paris-Saclay - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - DRF (CEA) - Direction de Recherche Fondamentale (CEA) - CEA - Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives, ICOS-ATC - ICOS-ATC - LSCE - Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement [Gif-sur-Yvette] - UVSQ - Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines - INSU - CNRS - Institut national des sciences de l'Univers - Université Paris-Saclay - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - DRF (CEA) - Direction de Recherche Fondamentale (CEA) - CEA - Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives)

  • Nicklas Forsell

    (IIASA - International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis [Laxenburg])

  • Stefan Frank

    (IIASA - International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis [Laxenburg])

  • Petr Havlík

    (IIASA - International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis [Laxenburg])

  • Hugo Valin

    (IIASA - International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis [Laxenburg])

  • Ivan Janssens

    (UA - University of Antwerp)

  • Josep Penuelas

    (CREAF - Centre for Ecological Research and Applied Forestries)

  • Guido Schmidt-Traub

    (HNE - Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development)

Abstract

The Paris Agreement is based on emission scenarios that move from a sluggish phase-out of fossil fuels to large-scale late-century negative emissions. Alternative pathways of early deployment of negative emission technologies need to be considered to ensure that climate targets are reached safely and sustainably.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael Obersteiner & Johannes Bednar & Fabian Wagner & Thomas Gasser & Philippe Ciais & Nicklas Forsell & Stefan Frank & Petr Havlík & Hugo Valin & Ivan Janssens & Josep Penuelas & Guido Schmidt-Trau, 2018. "How to spend a dwindling greenhouse gas budget," Post-Print hal-02895061, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02895061
    DOI: 10.1038/s41558-017-0045-1
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-02895061
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    Cited by:

    1. Stefan Frank & Petr Havlík & Elke Stehfest & Hans Meijl & Peter Witzke & Ignacio Pérez-Domínguez & Michiel Dijk & Jonathan C. Doelman & Thomas Fellmann & Jason F. L. Koopman & Andrzej Tabeau & Hugo Va, 2019. "Agricultural non-CO2 emission reduction potential in the context of the 1.5 °C target," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 9(1), pages 66-72, January.
    2. Duncan Brack & Richard King, 2021. "Managing Land‐based CDR: BECCS, Forests and Carbon Sequestration," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 12(S1), pages 45-56, April.
    3. Yue Wang & Yuanjiang Zhao & Changwei Hu, 2024. "Slow Pyrolysis of De-Oiled Rapeseed Cake: Influence of Pyrolysis Parameters on the Yield and Characteristics of the Liquid Obtained," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(3), pages 1-14, January.
    4. Rickels, Wilfried & Merk, Christine & Honneth, Johannes & Schwinger, Jörg & Quaas, Martin & Oschlies, Andreas, 2019. "Welche Rolle spielen negative Emissionen für die zukünftige Klimapolitik?," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 261840, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    5. Marcucci, Adriana & Panos, Evangelos & Kypreos, Socrates & Fragkos, Panagiotis, 2019. "Probabilistic assessment of realizing the 1.5 °C climate target," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(C), pages 239-251.
    6. Bartels, Lara & Kesternich, Martin & Löschel, Andreas, 2021. "The demand for voluntary carbon sequestration: Experimental evidence from a reforestation project in Germany," ZEW Discussion Papers 21-088, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    7. Vanbeveren, Stefan P.P. & Ceulemans, Reinhart, 2019. "Biodiversity in short-rotation coppice," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 34-43.
    8. Burke, Joshua & Gambhir, Ajay, 2022. "Policy incentives for greenhouse gas removal techniques: the risks of premature inclusion in carbon markets and the need for a multi-pronged policy framework," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 115010, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    9. Benjamin K. Sovacool & Chad M. Baum & Sean Low, 2022. "Determining our climate policy future: expert opinions about negative emissions and solar radiation management pathways," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 27(8), pages 1-50, December.
    10. Ángel Galán-Martín & Daniel Vázquez & Selene Cobo & Niall Dowell & José Antonio Caballero & Gonzalo Guillén-Gosálbez, 2021. "Delaying carbon dioxide removal in the European Union puts climate targets at risk," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-12, December.
    11. Rose A Graves & Ryan D Haugo & Andrés Holz & Max Nielsen-Pincus & Aaron Jones & Bryce Kellogg & Cathy Macdonald & Kenneth Popper & Michael Schindel, 2020. "Potential greenhouse gas reductions from Natural Climate Solutions in Oregon, USA," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(4), pages 1-30, April.
    12. Camilla C. N. Oliveira & Gerd Angelkorte & Pedro R. R. Rochedo & Alexandre Szklo, 2021. "The role of biomaterials for the energy transition from the lens of a national integrated assessment model," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 167(3), pages 1-22, August.
    13. André Luiz Lopes Toledo & Emílio Lèbre La Rovere, 2018. "Urban Mobility and Greenhouse Gas Emissions: Status, Public Policies, and Scenarios in a Developing Economy City, Natal, Brazil," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-24, November.
    14. Rickels, Wilfried & Merk, Christine & Honneth, Johannes & Schwinger, Jörg & Quaas, Martin F. & Oschlies, Andreas, 2019. "Welche Rolle spielen negative Emissionen für die zukünftige Klimapolitik? Eine ökonomische Einschätzung des 1,5°C-Sonderberichts des Weltklimarats," Kiel Working Papers 2116, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    15. Xin Zhao & Bryan K. Mignone & Marshall A. Wise & Haewon C. McJeon, 2024. "Trade-offs in land-based carbon removal measures under 1.5 °C and 2 °C futures," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-13, December.
    16. Jutta Wieding & Jessica Stubenrauch & Felix Ekardt, 2020. "Human Rights and Precautionary Principle: Limits to Geoengineering, SRM, and IPCC Scenarios," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-23, October.
    17. Jérôme Hilaire & Jan C. Minx & Max W. Callaghan & Jae Edmonds & Gunnar Luderer & Gregory F. Nemet & Joeri Rogelj & Maria Mar Zamora, 2019. "Negative emissions and international climate goals—learning from and about mitigation scenarios," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 157(2), pages 189-219, November.
    18. Rickels, Wilfried & Proelß, Alexander & Geden, Oliver & Burhenne, Julian & Fridahl, Mathias, 2020. "The future of (negative) emissions trading in the European Union," Kiel Working Papers 2164, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    19. Junichi Tsutsui & Hiromi Yamamoto & Shogo Sakamoto & Masahiro Sugiyama, 2020. "The role of advanced end-use technologies in long-term climate change mitigation: the interlinkage between primary bioenergy and energy end-use," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 163(3), pages 1659-1673, December.
    20. Zappa, William & Junginger, Martin & van den Broek, Machteld, 2021. "Can liberalised electricity markets support decarbonised portfolios in line with the Paris Agreement? A case study of Central Western Europe," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    21. Hans Jensen & Ignacio Pérez Domínguez & Thomas Fellmann & Paul Lirette & Jordan Hristov & George Philippidis, 2019. "Economic Impacts of a Low Carbon Economy on Global Agriculture: The Bumpy Road to Paris," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-17, April.

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