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Winner's curse in toll road concessions

Author

Listed:
  • Laure Athias

    (ATOM - Analyse Théorique des Organisations et des Marchés - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne, IDHEAP and SPAN - Institut de hautes études en administration publique - Fondation pour un Institut de hautes études en administration publique, CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Antonio Núñez

    (LET - Laboratoire d'économie des transports - UL2 - Université Lumière - Lyon 2 - ENTPE - École Nationale des Travaux Publics de l'État - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

We empirically assess the effect of the winner's curse in auctions for toll road concessions, taking into account, to our knowledge for the first time, problems of commitment and enforcement, using a unique dataset of 49 worldwide road concessions.

Suggested Citation

  • Laure Athias & Antonio Núñez, 2008. "Winner's curse in toll road concessions," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00331821, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:cesptp:halshs-00331821
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2008.07.017
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. J. Luis Guasch & Jean-Jacques Laffont & Stephane Straub, 2003. "Renegotiation of Concession Contracts in Latin America," Edinburgh School of Economics Discussion Paper Series 103, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh.
    2. Flyvbjerg,Bent & Bruzelius,Nils & Rothengatter,Werner, 2003. "Megaprojects and Risk," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521009461, September.
    3. repec:cup:cbooks:9780521840187 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Bulow, Jeremy & Klemperer, Paul, 1996. "Auctions versus Negotiations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 86(1), pages 180-194, March.
    5. Milgrom, Paul R & Weber, Robert J, 1982. "A Theory of Auctions and Competitive Bidding," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(5), pages 1089-1122, September.
    6. Laffont,Jean-Jacques, 2005. "Regulation and Development," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521549486, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Elisabetta Iossa, 2015. "Contract and procurement design for PPPs in highways: the road ahead," Economia e Politica Industriale: Journal of Industrial and Business Economics, Springer;Associazione Amici di Economia e Politica Industriale, vol. 42(3), pages 245-276, September.
    2. Eduardo Engel & Ronald Fischer & Alexander Galetovic, 2015. "Soft Budgets and Renegotiations in Public-Private Partnerships: Theory and Evidence," Documentos de Trabajo 317, Centro de Economía Aplicada, Universidad de Chile.
    3. Carlos Oliveira Cruz & Joaquim Miranda Sarmento, 2020. "Traffic forecast inaccuracy in transportation: a literature review of roads and railways projects," Transportation, Springer, vol. 47(4), pages 1571-1606, August.
    4. Reza Farrahi Moghaddam & Fereydoun Farrahi Moghaddam & Mohamed Cheriet, 2014. "A Multi-Entity Input Output (MEIO) Approach to Sustainability - Water-Energy-GHG (WEG) Footprint Statements in Use Cases from Auto and Telco Industries," Papers 1404.6227, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2014.
    5. Bonifaz, José L. & Saavedra, Eduardo H., 2023. "Aggressive bidding and the renegotiation of concession contracts: Empirical evidence from Peru," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    6. Matthew Ryan & Fl�vio Menezes, 2015. "Public-private partnerships for transport infrastructure: Some efficiency risks," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(3), pages 276-295, August.
    7. Diego Aycinena & Rimvydas Baltaduonis & Lucas Rentschler, 2014. "Valuation structure in first-price and least-revenue auctions: an experimental investigation," Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 17(1), pages 100-128, March.
    8. Antonio Estache & Atsushi Iimi, 2012. "Quality or Price? Evidence from ODA-Financed Public Procurement," Public Finance Review, , vol. 40(4), pages 435-469, July.
    9. Athias, Laure & Saussier, Stéphane, 2018. "Are public private partnerships that rigid? And why? Evidence from price provisions in French toll road concession contracts," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 174-186.
    10. Raquel García-García & Esteban García-Canal & Mauro F. Guillén, 2019. "International Dispersion and Profitability: An Institution-Based Approach," Management International Review, Springer, vol. 59(6), pages 855-888, December.
    11. Daniel Albalate & Paula Bel-Piñana, 2016. "Winners and losers in tolled motorway renegotiations: an empirical evaluation of the Spanish pioneers," Public Money & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(5), pages 365-372, July.
    12. Sergio Galletta & Mario Jametti & Agustin Redonda, 2015. "Highway to Economic Growth? Competition in Public Works Tenders in the Democratic Republic of Congo," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 83(2), pages 240-252, June.
    13. Athias, Laure, 2007. "Political accountability, incentives, and Contractual design of public private partnerships," MPRA Paper 10538, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Engel, Eduardo & Fischer, Ronald D. & Galetovic, Alexander, 2024. "The company you keep: Renegotiations and adverse selection in transportation infrastructure," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    15. Loyola, Gino, 2012. "Optimal and efficient takeover contests with toeholds," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 203-216.
    16. Engel, Eduardo M.R:A. & Fischer, Ronald & Galetovic, Alexander, 2019. "Soft budgets and endogenous renegotiations in transport PPPs: An equilibrium analysis," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 17(C), pages 40-50.
    17. Matteo Migheli, 2017. "The winner’s curse in auctions with losses," Mind & Society: Cognitive Studies in Economics and Social Sciences, Springer;Fondazione Rosselli, vol. 16(1), pages 113-126, November.
    18. Athias, Laure & Macina, Moudo & Wicht, Pascal, 2017. "Public Private Partnerships: The Swiss Specificity," MPRA Paper 84131, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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