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On Probability Characteristics of "Downfalls" in a Standard Brownian Motion

Author

Listed:
  • Raphaël Douady

    (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • A.N. Shiryaev

    (SMI | RAS - Steklov Mathematical Institute [Moscow] - RAS - Russian Academy of Sciences [Moscow])

  • Marc Yor

    (IUF - Institut universitaire de France - M.E.N.E.S.R. - Ministère de l'Education nationale, de l’Enseignement supérieur et de la Recherche, LPMA - Laboratoire de Probabilités et Modèles Aléatoires - UPMC - Université Pierre et Marie Curie - Paris 6 - UPD7 - Université Paris Diderot - Paris 7 - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

For a Brownian motion $B=(B_t)_{t\le 1}$ with $B_0=0$, {\bf E}$B_t=0$, {\bf E}$B_t^2=t$ problems of probability distributions and their characteristics are considered for the variables $$ \begin{array}{c} {\mathbb D} =\displaystyle\sup_{0\le t\le t'\le 1}(B_t-B_{t'}),\qquad {\mathbb D}_1=B_\sigma-\inf_{\sigma\le t'\le 1}B_{t'}, \\ {\mathbb D}_2=\displaystyle\sup_{0\le t\le\sigma'}B_{t}-B_{\sigma'}, \end{array} $$ where $\sigma$ and $\sigma'$ are times (non-Markov) of the absolute maximum and absolute minimum of the Brownian motion on $[0,1]$ (i.e., $B_\sigma=\sup_{0\le t\le 1}B_t$, $B_{\sigma'}=\inf_{0\le t'\le 1}B_{t'}$).

Suggested Citation

  • Raphaël Douady & A.N. Shiryaev & Marc Yor, 2000. "On Probability Characteristics of "Downfalls" in a Standard Brownian Motion," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-01477104, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:cesptp:hal-01477104
    DOI: 10.1137/S0040585X97977306
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    Cited by:

    1. Emiel Lemahieu & Kris Boudt & Maarten Wyns, 2023. "Generating drawdown-realistic financial price paths using path signatures," Papers 2309.04507, arXiv.org.
    2. Muneer Shaik & S. Maheswaran, 2019. "Robust Volatility Estimation with and Without the Drift Parameter," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 17(1), pages 57-91, March.
    3. David Landriault & Bin Li & Hongzhong Zhang, 2017. "A Unified Approach for Drawdown (Drawup) of Time-Homogeneous Markov Processes," Papers 1702.07786, arXiv.org.
    4. Mijatović, Aleksandar & Pistorius, Martijn R., 2012. "On the drawdown of completely asymmetric Lévy processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 122(11), pages 3812-3836.
    5. Hongzhong Zhang, 2018. "Stochastic Drawdowns," World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., number 10078, August.
    6. Ola Mahmoud, 2015. "The Temporal Dimension of Risk," Papers 1501.01573, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2016.
    7. Leonie Violetta Brinker, 2021. "Minimal Expected Time in Drawdown through Investment for an Insurance Diffusion Model," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-18, January.
    8. Pavel V. Gapeev & Neofytos Rodosthenous & V. L. Raju Chinthalapati, 2019. "On the Laplace Transforms of the First Hitting Times for Drawdowns and Drawups of Diffusion-Type Processes," Risks, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-15, August.
    9. Kyo Yamamoto & Seisho Sato & Akihiko Takahashi, 2009. "Probability Distribution and Option Pricing for Drawdown in a Stochastic Volatility Environment," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-625, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    10. Kyo Yamamoto & Seisho Sato & Akihiko Takahashi, 2008. "Probability Distribution and Option Pricing for Drawdown in a Stochastic Volatility Environment ( Revised in May 2009; Electronic version of an article will be published in "International Journal," CARF F-Series CARF-F-138, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
    11. David Landriault & Bin Li & Hongzhong Zhang, 2014. "On the Frequency of Drawdowns for Brownian Motion Processes," Papers 1403.1183, arXiv.org.
    12. Zhenyu Cui & Duy Nguyen, 2018. "Magnitude and Speed of Consecutive Market Crashes in a Diffusion Model," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 117-135, March.
    13. Gapeev, Pavel V. & Rodosthenous, Neofytos & Chinthalapati, V.L Raju, 2019. "On the Laplace transforms of the first hitting times for drawdowns and drawups of diffusion-type processes," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 101272, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    14. Zhang, Hongzhong & Leung, Tim & Hadjiliadis, Olympia, 2013. "Stochastic modeling and fair valuation of drawdown insurance," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(3), pages 840-850.
    15. Hongzhong Zhang & Olympia Hadjiliadis, 2012. "Drawdowns and the Speed of Market Crash," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 14(3), pages 739-752, September.

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    Keywords

    Brownian motion; downfall;

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