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Le Garanzie Del Credito In Tempi Di Crisi (Tre Recensioni)

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  • Andrea Bucelli

Abstract

The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) offers investment opportunities for several Eurasian countries but not all of them attract investments in the same way. This paper investigates the geographical distribution of BRI projects completed between 2013 and 2020. The analysis shows that pre‐existing trade patterns are related to the likelihood of a country receiving completed BRI projects. We single out and provide evidence in support of five stylized facts. First, BRI countries with completed projects tend to be poorer and larger. Second, projects are more likely to occur in countries with intense intermediate trade with China. Third, the countries that received projects have more diversified export structures and their sectoral specialization overlaps with that of China. Fourth, among middle‐high‐income countries, the allocation of projects tends to favor those with high levels of intra‐industry trade. Fifth, among BRI countries with projects, the complexity or sophistication of the goods traded increases faster with income. These findings suggest that fostering trade integration has direct benefits and may also contribute to further BRI investments.
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Suggested Citation

  • Andrea Bucelli, 2021. "Le Garanzie Del Credito In Tempi Di Crisi (Tre Recensioni)," Working Papers - Economics wp2021_02.rdf, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa.
    • Handle: RePEc:frz:wpaper:wp2021_02.rdf
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    2. Vito Amendolagine & Andrea F. Presbitero & Roberta Rabellotti, 2025. "Chinese infrastructure lending in Africa and participation in global value chains," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 161(1), pages 7-48, February.
    3. Ligang Song & Yixiao Zhou, 2023. "Guest Editors' Words," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 31(1), pages 1-4, January.
    4. Mingyin Zhao & Yadong Ning & Shukuan Bai & Boya Zhang, 2024. "Embodied Carbon Transfer in China’s Bilateral Trade with Belt and Road Countries from the Perspective of Global Value Chains," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(4), pages 1-16, February.
    5. Konrad, Kai A., 2024. "China’s public international investment: A strategic-trade-policy perspective," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    6. Bazán-Palomino, Walter & Winkelried, Diego, 2025. "Dynamic financial connectedness among the US, China, and countries of the Belt and Road Initiative," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    7. Kai A. Konrad, 2023. "The Geoeconomics of Trade Infrastructure and the Innovation Competition between China and the US," Working Papers tax-mpg-rps-2023-14, Max Planck Institute for Tax Law and Public Finance.
    8. Bazán-Palomino, Walter & Winkelried, Diego, 2025. "Short-run and long-run volatility spillovers from China to countries of the Belt and Road Initiative," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    9. Diego Quer, 2024. "Diplomatic Relations and Investment Location of Chinese Multinationals: An International Political Economy Perspective," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 32(5), pages 87-112, September.

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    JEL classification:

    • K0 - Law and Economics - - General

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