IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/erg/wpaper/1698.html

Vulnerability to Multidimensional Poverty in Algeria and Tunisia Using the Counting Based Approach and Bayesian Networks Classifiers

Author

Listed:
  • Valérie Berenger

    (University of Toulon)

Abstract

This paper assesses levels and trends in vulnerability to multidimensional poverty for two different years in Algeria (2012/13 and 2019) and Tunisia (2012 and 2018). Using as benchmark the M-gamma multidimensional poverty measures as developed by Alkire and Foster (2019), it follows the approach suggested by Gallardo (2022). To preserve the multidimensional nature of poverty, the joint probability of being poor and deprived in each dimension is modelled using multidimensional Bayesian networks classifiers and the vulnerability by mean risk approach (VMR) to vulnerability measurement. Despite similar levels of multidimensional poverty, vulnerability measures are higher in Tunisia than in Algeria. In addition, the achievements in poverty reduction are more fragile in Tunisia than in Algeria. The results show that moderate vulnerability prevails over severe vulnerability both in Algeria and Tunisia. Trends over time indicate that in Algeria, vulnerability seems to be shifting more towards moderate vulnerability while the opposite is observed in Tunisia. The indicators that differentiate severe from moderate vulnerability are mainly related to health and education dimensions both in Algeria and Tunisia. We show that chronic poverty among the vulnerable is larger in Tunisia than in Algeria. Our results reveal also different trajectories in the evolution of the vulnerability components in these two countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Valérie Berenger, 2023. "Vulnerability to Multidimensional Poverty in Algeria and Tunisia Using the Counting Based Approach and Bayesian Networks Classifiers," Working Papers 1698, Economic Research Forum, revised 20 Dec 2023.
    • Handle: RePEc:erg:wpaper:1698
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://erf.org.eg/publications/vulnerability-to-multidimensional-poverty-in-algeria-and-tunisia-using-the-counting-based-approach-and-bayesian-networks-classifiers-2/
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://erf.org.eg/app/uploads/2023/12/1703452561_409_1209013_1698.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sabina Alkire and James Foster, 2019. "The Role of Inequality in Poverty Measurement," OPHI Working Papers ophiwp126.pdf, Queen Elizabeth House, University of Oxford.
    2. Indranil Dutta & James Foster & Ajit Mishra, 2011. "On measuring vulnerability to poverty," Social Choice and Welfare, Springer;The Society for Social Choice and Welfare, vol. 37(4), pages 743-761, October.
    3. repec:qeh:ophiwp:ophiwp126 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Gallardo, Mauricio, 2013. "Using the downside mean-semideviation for measuring vulnerability to poverty," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 120(3), pages 416-418.
    5. Yuan Li Liu & Kai Zhu & Qi Yao Chen & Jing Li & Jin Cai & Tian He & He Ping Liao, 2021. "Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Farm Households’ Vulnerability to Multidimensional Poverty in Rural China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-16, February.
    6. Stephan Klasen & Felix Povel, 2013. "Defining and Measuring Vulnerability: State of the Art and New Proposals," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Stephan Klasen & Hermann Waibel (ed.), Vulnerability to Poverty, chapter 2, pages 17-49, Palgrave Macmillan.
    7. Ethan Ligon & Laura Schechter, 2003. "Measuring Vulnerability," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 113(486), pages 95-102, March.
    8. Levison Chiwaula & Rudolf Witt & Hermann Waibel, 2011. "An Asset-Based Approach to Vulnerability: The Case of Small-Scale Fishing Areas in Cameroon and Nigeria," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(2), pages 338-353.
    9. Tesliuc, Emil D. & Lindert, Kathy, 2004. "Risk and vulnerability in Guatemala: a quantitative and qualitative assessment," Social Protection Discussion Papers and Notes 30154, The World Bank.
    10. Povel, Felix, 2015. "Measuring Exposure to Downside Risk with an Application to Thailand and Vietnam," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 4-24.
    11. Jenkins, Stephen P & Lambert, Peter J, 1997. "Three 'I's of Poverty Curves, with an Analysis of UK Poverty Trends," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 49(3), pages 317-327, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Valérie BÉRENGER, 2025. "Vulnerability to Multidimensional Poverty in Algeria and Tunisia: A Counting Approach with Bayesian Network Classifiers," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 62, pages 123-150.
    2. Muhammad Masood Azeem & Amin W. Mugera & Steven Schilizzi & Kadambot H. M. Siddique, 2017. "An Assessment of Vulnerability to Poverty in Punjab, Pakistan: Subjective Choices of Poverty Indicators," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 134(1), pages 117-152, October.
    3. Mauricio Gallardo, 2018. "Identifying Vulnerability To Poverty: A Critical Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(4), pages 1074-1105, September.
    4. Tomoki Fujii, 2016. "Concepts and measurement of vulnerability to poverty and other issues: a review of literature," Chapters, in: Jacques Silber & Guanghua Wan (ed.), The Asian ‘Poverty Miracle’, chapter 3, pages 53-83, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    5. Anh Thu Quang Pham & Pundarik Mukhopadhaya & Ha Vu, 2021. "Estimating poverty and vulnerability to monetary and non-monetary poverty: the case of Vietnam," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(6), pages 3125-3177, December.
    6. Mauricio Gallardo, 2020. "Measuring Vulnerability to Multidimensional Poverty," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 148(1), pages 67-103, February.
    7. Satya R. Chakravarty & Nachiketa Chattopadhyay & Jacques Silber & Guanghua Wan, 2016. "Measuring the impact of vulnerability on the number of poor: a new methodology with empirical illustrations," Chapters, in: Jacques Silber & Guanghua Wan (ed.), The Asian ‘Poverty Miracle’, chapter 4, pages 84-117, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    8. Lei He & Shuyi Zhou, 2024. "Measuring household vulnerability to medical expenditure shock: method and its empirical application," International Journal of Health Economics and Management, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 465-480, September.
    9. Joaquín Prieto, 2024. "Degrees of vulnerability to poverty: A low-income dynamics approach for Chile," Working Papers 666, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality.
    10. Mauricio Gallardo & María Emma Santos & Pablo Villatoro & Vicky Pizarro, 2024. "Measuring Vulnerability to Multidimensional Poverty in Latin America," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 70(3), pages 661-696, September.
    11. Prieto Suarez, Joaquin, 2023. "Degrees of vulnerability to poverty: a low-income dynamics approach for Chile," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 121993, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    12. repec:ehl:lserod:121085 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Magrini, Emiliano & Montalbano, Pierluigi & Winters, L. Alan, 2018. "Households’ vulnerability from trade in Vietnam," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 46-58.
    14. César Calvo, 2016. "Vulnerability to Poverty: Theory," Working Papers 2016-3, Lima School of Economics.
    15. Chiwaula, Levison & Waibel, Hermann, 2011. "Does seasonal vulnerability to poverty matter? A case study from the Hadejia-Nguru Wetlands in Nigeria," Proceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, Berlin 2011 19, Verein für Socialpolitik, Research Committee Development Economics.
    16. Celidoni, Martina, 2011. "Vulnerability to poverty: An empirical comparison of alternative measures," MPRA Paper 33002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Montalbano, Pierluigi, 2011. "Trade Openness and Developing Countries' Vulnerability: Concepts, Misconceptions, and Directions for Research," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 39(9), pages 1489-1502, September.
    18. Emiliano Magrini & Pierluigi Montalbano, 2012. "Trade openness and vulnerability to poverty: Vietnam in the long-run (1992-2008)," Working Paper Series 3512, Department of Economics, University of Sussex Business School.
    19. Thang Vo, 2018. "Social capital and household vulnerability: New evidence from rural Vietnam," WIDER Working Paper Series 167, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    20. Azeem, Muhammad Masood & Mugera, Amin W. & Schilizzi, Steven, 2016. "Poverty and vulnerability in the Punjab, Pakistan: A multilevel analysis," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 57-72.
    21. Maike Hohberg & Katja Landau & Thomas Kneib & Stephan Klasen & Walter Zucchini, 2018. "Vulnerability to poverty revisited: Flexible modeling and better predictive performance," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 16(3), pages 439-454, September.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:erg:wpaper:1698. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Namees Nabeel (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/erfaceg.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.