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Generative data modelling for diverse populations in Africa: insights from South Africa

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  • Simmons, Sally Sonia
  • Hagan Jr, John Elvis
  • Schack, Thomas

Abstract

Studies on the demography and health of racially diverse African populations are scarce, particularly due to lingering data challenges. Generative data modelling has emerged as a valuable solution to this burden. The study, therefore, examined the efficacy of Conditional Tabular GAN (CTGAN), CopulaGAN, and Tabula Variational Autoencoder (TVAE) for generating synthetic but realistic demographic and health data. This study employed the World Health Organisation stigy on global ageing and adult health survey (SAGE) Wave 1 South African data (n = 4227). Information missing from SAGE Wave 1, including demographic (e.g., race, age) and health (e.g., hypertension, blood pressure) indicators, were imputed using Generative Adversarial Imputation Nets (GAIN). CopulaGAN, CTGAN, and TVAE, sourced from the sdv 1.24.1 python library, generated 104,227 synthetic records based on the SAGE data constituents. The outcomes were accessed with similarity and machine learning (XGBoost) augmentation metrics (sourced from the sdmetrics 0.21.0 python library), including column shapes and overall and precision ratio scores. Generally, the GAIN imputations resulted in data with properties that were comparable to original and with no missing information. CTGAN’s (89.20%) overall quality of performance was above that of TVAE (86.50%) and CopulaGAN (88.45%). These findings underscore the usefulness of generative data modelling in addressing data quality challenges in diverse populations to enhance actionable health research and policy implementation.

Suggested Citation

  • Simmons, Sally Sonia & Hagan Jr, John Elvis & Schack, Thomas, 2025. "Generative data modelling for diverse populations in Africa: insights from South Africa," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 129032, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:129032
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    File URL: https://researchonline.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/129032/
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Otsu, Taisuke & Taniguchi, Go, 2020. "Kolmogorov–Smirnov type test for generated variables," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    2. Simmons, Sally Sonia, 2023. "Strikes and gutters: biomarkers and anthropometric measures for predicting diagnosed diabetes mellitus in adults in low- and middle-income countries," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 120395, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. Sally Sonia Simmons & John Elvis Hagan Jr. & Thomas Schack, 2021. "The Influence of Anthropometric Indices and Intermediary Determinants of Hypertension in Bangladesh," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(11), pages 1-12, May.
    4. Otsu, Taisuke & Taniguchi, Go, 2020. "Kolmogorov-Smirnov type test for generated variables," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 105571, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    5. David Mhlanga & Rufaro Garidzirai, 2020. "The Influence of Racial Differences in the Demand for Healthcare in South Africa: A Case of Public Healthcare," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(14), pages 1-10, July.
    6. Noah Hollmann & Samuel Müller & Lennart Purucker & Arjun Krishnakumar & Max Körfer & Shi Bin Hoo & Robin Tibor Schirrmeister & Frank Hutter, 2025. "Accurate predictions on small data with a tabular foundation model," Nature, Nature, vol. 637(8045), pages 319-326, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Simmons, Sally Sonia & Hagan, John Elvis & Nieto-Gonzalez, Imanol L. & Schack, Thomas, 2026. "Spatial predictive patterns of cause-specific mortality: evidence from East Africa," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 140878, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C81 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Microeconomic Data; Data Access
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • I10 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - General
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts

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