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On the last zero process with an application in corporate bankruptcy

Author

Listed:
  • Baurdoux, Erik J.
  • Pedraza, José M.

Abstract

For a spectrally negative L´evy process X, consider gt, the last time X is below the level zero before time t ≥ 0. We use a perturbation method for L´evy processes to derive an Itˆo formula for the threedimensional process {(gt, t,Xt), t ≥ 0} and its infinitesimal generator. Moreover, with Ut := t − gt, the length of a current positive excursion, we derive a general formula that allows us to calculate a functional of the whole path of (U,X) = {(Ut,Xt), t ≥ 0} in terms of the positive and negative excursions of the process X. As a corollary, we find the joint Laplace transform of (Ueq ,Xeq ), where eq is an independent exponential time, and the q-potential measure of the process (U,X). Furthermore, using the results mentioned above, we find a solution to a general optimal stopping problem depending on (U,X) with an application in corporate bankruptcy. Lastly, we establish a link between the optimal prediction of g∞ and optimal stopping problems in terms of (U,X) as per Baurdoux and Pedraza (2024).

Suggested Citation

  • Baurdoux, Erik J. & Pedraza, José M., 2025. "On the last zero process with an application in corporate bankruptcy," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 128366, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:128366
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    File URL: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/128366/
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    corporate bankruptcy; Itô's formula; last zero; Lévy processes; optimal stopping; positive excursions;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General

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