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Assessing the Potential Impact of the Global Crisis on the Labour Market and the Informal Sector in Vietnam

Author

Listed:
  • Jean-Pierre Cling

    () (DIAL Développement, Institutions & Analyses de Long terme, IRD Institut de Recherche pour le Développement)

  • Mireille Razafindrakoto

    (DIAL Développement, Institutions & Analyses de Long terme, IRD Institut de Recherche pour le Développement)

  • Francois Roubaud

    (DIAL Développement, Institutions & Analyses de Long terme, IRD Institut de Recherche pour le Développement)

Abstract

Although the impact was less dramatic than in other Asian countries, Vietnam has been affected by the international crisis which started in 2008, resulting in a significant slowdown of economic growth. This paper aims at assessing the impact of this economic crisis on employment, unemployment and the informal sector. Contrarily to previous studies on this subject, we anticipate a very small increase of unemployment. According to our estimates, most of the impact of the crisis in terms of employment will actually be felt in the informal sector, where most new entrants on the labour market and laid(off workers will end up working. This feature will result in an urgent need to put in place specific policies to tackle informal sector low productivity and its manpower's lack of labour protection.

Suggested Citation

  • Jean-Pierre Cling & Mireille Razafindrakoto & Francois Roubaud, 2010. "Assessing the Potential Impact of the Global Crisis on the Labour Market and the Informal Sector in Vietnam," Working Papers 05, Development and Policies Research Center (DEPOCEN), Vietnam.
  • Handle: RePEc:dpc:wpaper:0510
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jean-Pierre Cling & Mohamed Ali Marouani & Mireille Razafindrakoto & Anne-Sophie Robilliard & Francois Roubaud, 2009. "The Distributive Impact of Vietnam's Accession to the WTO," Economie Internationale, CEPII research center, issue 118, pages 43-71.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Huu Chi Nguyen & Christophe J. Nordman & François Roubaud, 2013. "Who Suffers the Penalty?: A Panel Data Analysis of Earnings Gaps in Vietnam," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(12), pages 1694-1710, December.
    2. repec:dau:papers:123456789/7477 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Xavier Oudin & Laure Pasquier-Doumer & Thai Pham Minh & François Roubaud, 2017. "Adjustment of the Vietnamese Labour Market in Time of Economic fluctuations and Structural Changes," Working Papers hal-01650994, HAL.
    4. Jean-Pierre Cling & Mireille Razafindrakoto & François Roubaud, 2012. "Secteur informel, crise et politiques publiques au Vietnam," Working Papers DT/2012/11, DIAL (Développement, Institutions et Mondialisation).
    5. Xavier Oudin & Laure Pasquier-Doumer & Thai Pham Minh & Laure Pasquier-Doumer & Dat Vu Hoang, 2014. "Adjustment of the Vietnamese Labour Market in Time of Economic fluctuations and Structural Changes," Working Papers DT/2014/04, DIAL (Développement, Institutions et Mondialisation).
    6. Nguyen Thi Lan Huong & Luu Quan Tuan & Meissner, Matthias & Bui Sy Tuan & Dang Do Quyen & Nguyen Hai Yen, 2013. "Social Protection for the Informal Sector and the Informally Employed in Vietnam: Literature and data review," IEE Working Papers 199, Institut fuer Entwicklungsforschung und Entwicklungspolitik, Ruhr-Universitaet Bochum.
    7. Nguyen, Duy Loi & Nguyen, Binh Giang & Tran, Thi Ha & Vo, Thi Minh Le & Nguyen, Dinh Ngan, 2014. "Employment, Earnings and Social Protection for Female Workers in Vietnam’s Informal Sector," MPRA Paper 61989, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. repec:dau:papers:123456789/12321 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. repec:dau:papers:123456789/7474 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Morais, Joanna & Trinh, Thi-Huong, 2017. "Impact of socioeconomic factors on nutritional diet in Vietnam from 2004 to 2014: new insights using compositional data analysis," TSE Working Papers 17-825, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    11. repec:dau:papers:123456789/10805 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Mireille Razafindrakoto & François Roubaud & Jean-Michel Wachsberger, 2012. "Santé, Inégalités et ruptures sociales à Antananarivo, Premiers résultats de l’enquête SIRS 2003," Working Papers DT/2012/10, DIAL (Développement, Institutions et Mondialisation).
    13. Nguyen Manh Hung & Truong Thi Kim Anh & Vu Thanh Huong, 2012. "Challenges resulting from the global economic crisis,and responses by Vietnamese woman-led,export-oriented enterprises: A preliminary inquiry," Working Papers 12012, Asia-Pacific Research and Training Network on Trade (ARTNeT), an initiative of UNESCAP and IDRC, Canada..
    14. repec:dau:papers:123456789/10758 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Jean-Pierre Cling & Hữu Chí Nguyễn & Mireille Razafindrakoto & François Roubaud, 2008. "Urbanization and access to labour market in Vietnam: Weight and characteristics of the informal sector," Post-Print hal-01664253, HAL.
    16. repec:dau:papers:123456789/7476 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Huu Chi Nguyen & Christophe Jalil Nordman & François Roubaud, 2013. "Who Suffers the Penalty? A Panel Data Analysis of Earnings Gaps in Vietnam," Post-Print hal-01619829, HAL.

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