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Policy Evaluation in Equilibrium The Case of Job Searcg Counseling in France


  • Pierre Cahuc


  • Bruno Crépon


  • Julien Guitard


  • Marc Gurgand



We develop a partial equilibrium stochastic job matching model of the labor market to examine whetherthe counseling of unemployment workers displaces unemployed workers not offered the counseling. Inthis model, the improvement of the reservation utility of counseled job seekers induces them to refusejob offers that they would have accepted if they were not counseled. This behavior, which exerts anegative spillover on job creation, reduces the arrival rate of job offers to the unemployed workers whodo not benefit from counseling. The model is estimated on data concerning intensive counselingschemes that are provided to about 12.5 percent of the unemployed workers since the 2001 Frenchunemployment policy reform (PARE). We find significant favourable effects of counselling on the exitrate out of unemployment of counseled workers. We also find that counselling reduces the exit ratefrom unemployment of workers not offered the counseling. This effect is sufficiently large to imply thatcounseling reduces the average exit rate from unemployment of counseled and non counseled workerswhen a small share of unemployed workers are counseled. This result puts to the fore that evaluationsrelying only on comparisons of differences in outcomes between a treatment group and a control groupcan lead to misleading conclusions even when a small share of the population is treated.

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  • Pierre Cahuc & Bruno Crépon & Julien Guitard & Marc Gurgand, 2008. "Policy Evaluation in Equilibrium The Case of Job Searcg Counseling in France," Working Papers 2008-13, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
  • Handle: RePEc:crs:wpaper:2008-13

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Ronald Wolthoff, 2010. "Applications and Interviews: A Structural Analysis of Two-Sided Simultaneous Search," 2010 Meeting Papers 114, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Marc FERRACCI & Grégory JOLIVET & Gerard J van den Berg, 2009. "Treatment Evaluation in the Case of Interaction Within Markets," Working Papers 2009-22, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.

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