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AI adoption by human experts: Evidence from primary care physicians

Author

Listed:
  • Shan Huang
  • Renke Schmacker
  • Hannes Ullrich

Abstract

AI can raise productivity by extracting information from rich data, yet little is known about how experts weigh AI-generated signals against established decision-support tools. We conduct a nationwide survey experiment with 372 Danish primary care physicians (21.5% of all clinics), who make diagnostic and treatment decisions on urinary tract infection vignettes before and after receiving a diagnostic signal. Holding accuracy constant, we randomize between-subjects whether the signal appears as an AI prediction or as a commonly used dipstick test result. Physicians update beliefs 41% less in response to AI than to dipstick signals, consistent with AI skepticism. Roughly one-third of physicians largely ignore the AI tool; linked administrative data show that these non-adopters exhibit lower technology use at their clinics, but that they are similar to adopters in clinical practice and prescribing measures. When physicians use the AI tool, they ignore asymmetry in informativeness between positive and negative signals and, when shown both the AI and a redundant signal, exhibit correlation neglect. These frictions in information processing lead to increased antibiotic prescribing with the AI signal in our setting. Our findings highlight the importance of training and information design for AI implementation.

Suggested Citation

  • Shan Huang & Renke Schmacker & Hannes Ullrich, 2026. "AI adoption by human experts: Evidence from primary care physicians," RFBerlin Discussion Paper Series 26199, ROCKWOOL Foundation Berlin (RFBerlin).
  • Handle: RePEc:crm:wpaper:26199
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. David C Chan & Matthew Gentzkow & Chuan Yu, 2022. "Selection with Variation in Diagnostic Skill: Evidence from Radiologists [The Determinants of Productivity in Medical Testing: Intensity and Allocation of Care]," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 137(2), pages 729-783.
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • I11 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Analysis of Health Care Markets
    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes

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