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Fear of Floating and Pegging: A Simultaneous Choice Model of De Jure and De Facto Exchange Rate Regimes

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  • von Hagen, Jurgen
  • Zhou, Jizhong

Abstract

We present an analysis of the determinants of de jure and de facto exchange rate regimes based on a panel probit model with simultaneous equations. The model is estimated using simulation-based maximum likelihood methods. The empirical results suggest a triangular structure of the model such that the choice of de facto regimes depends on the choice of de jure regimes but not vice versa. This gives rise to a novel interpretation of regime discrepancies.

Suggested Citation

  • von Hagen, Jurgen & Zhou, Jizhong, 2008. "Fear of Floating and Pegging: A Simultaneous Choice Model of De Jure and De Facto Exchange Rate Regimes," CEPR Discussion Papers 7006, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:7006
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    8. von Hagen, Jurgen & Zhou, Jizhong, 2005. "De facto and official exchange rate regimes in transition economies," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 256-275, June.
    9. Levy Yeyati, Eduardo & Sturzenegger, Federico & Reggio, Iliana, 2010. "On the endogeneity of exchange rate regimes," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 54(5), pages 659-677, July.
    10. Jürgen von Hagen & Jizhong Zhou, 2005. "The choice of exchange rate regime: An empirical analysis for transition economies," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 13(4), pages 679-703, October.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    De facto exchange rate regimes; Developing countries; Simultaneous equations;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C35 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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