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Brexit and Foreign Students in Gravity

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  • Ronald B. Davies
  • Lena S. Specht

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of Brexit on international student migration. In a structural gravity model, we estimate student migration between 69 countries for counterfactual scenarios in which the United Kingdom leaves the European Union one year before the referendum. This exercise reveals a decrease in exchange students studying in the UK of around 3.8% to 4.9%. While the number of non-EU students to the UK rises, a drop in EU student numbers drives this result. Similarly, 30% to 38% fewer UK students choose to study abroad. The estimated changes in international student stocks show that most other member countries lose international students and non-EU countries host more than without Brexit. Our findings provide evidence that there may be hidden costs to Brexit affecting global student exchanges that we have yet to see.

Suggested Citation

  • Ronald B. Davies & Lena S. Specht, 2024. "Brexit and Foreign Students in Gravity," CESifo Working Paper Series 10945, CESifo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_10945
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    File URL: https://www.cesifo.org/DocDL/cesifo1_wp10945.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mario Larch & Yoto V. Yotov, 2016. "General Equilibrium Trade Policy Analysis with Structural Gravity," CESifo Working Paper Series 6020, CESifo.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    international migration; international students; gravity model; Brexit;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • I28 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Government Policy
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts

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