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The Opportunities and Challenges of Linked IRS Administrative and Census Survey Records in the Study of Migration

Author

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  • Thomas B. Foster
  • Mark Ellis
  • Lee Fiorio

Abstract

This paper details efforts to link administrative records from the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) to American Community Survey (ACS) and 2010 Census microdata for the study of migration in the United States. Specifically, we (1) document our linkage strategy and methodology for inferring migration in IRS records; (2) model selection into and survival across IRS records to determine suitability for research applications; and (3) gauge the efficacy of the IRS records by demonstrating how they can be used to validate and potentially improve migration responses in ACS microdata. Our results show little evidence of selection or survival bias in the IRS records, suggesting broad generalizability to the nation as a whole. Moreover, we find that the combined IRS 1040, 1099, and W2 records may provide important information on populations that are hard to reach with traditional Census surveys. Finally, while preliminary, the results of our comparison of IRS and ACS migration responses shows that IRS records may be useful in improving ACS migration measurement for respondents whose migration response is proxy, allocated, or imputed. Taking these results together, we discuss the potential applications of our longitudinal IRS dataset to innovations in migration research in the United States.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas B. Foster & Mark Ellis & Lee Fiorio, 2018. "The Opportunities and Challenges of Linked IRS Administrative and Census Survey Records in the Study of Migration," CARRA Working Papers 2018-06, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
    • Handle: RePEc:cen:cpaper:2018-06
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    File URL: https://www.census.gov/content/dam/Census/library/working-papers/2018/adrm/carra-wp-2018-06.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Raj Chetty & Nathaniel Hendren & Patrick Kline & Emmanuel Saez, 2014. "Where is the land of Opportunity? The Geography of Intergenerational Mobility in the United States," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 129(4), pages 1553-1623.
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