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Dealing with Structural Change: A Diagnosis of the Thai Economy

Author

Listed:
  • Kiatipong Ariyapruchya

    (Bank of Thailand)

  • Sukonpat Chantapant

    (Bank of Thailand)

  • Tosapol Apaitan

    (Bank of Thailand)

Abstract

The entry of China into the global economy and regional economic integration is ushering in a new global production structure. Thailand will have to find her place in this new global order by embracing internal structural change. The paper finds that Thailand will have to confront sizeable structural change due to global developments. And depending on how global and domestic developments play out, there are wide-ranging possibilities on how Thailand may transform structurally. Nevertheless, no matter what possibility materializes, the Thai economy’s smooth transformation rests on its adaptability and resiliency. We focus on adaptability in terms of physical mobility and resiliency in terms of firm resiliency to shocks. Thailand’s physical capital mobility is adequate by international standards, but rigidities exist in sectors that lack competition or financial access. At the firm level, the overall picture is that of resiliency to shocks, but there are firms in non-competitive sectors that appear particularly vulnerable. On overall, the Thai economy is adaptable and resilient but will be challenged by imminent and substantial structural change; the Thai economy must build adaptability and resiliency from within. For example, policymakers can facilitate resource allocation by fostering competition and sustaining financial sector liberalization. Firms should enhance productivity, seek out opportunities in new markets, prepare for regional competition and manage financial risk more carefully.

Suggested Citation

  • Kiatipong Ariyapruchya & Sukonpat Chantapant & Tosapol Apaitan, 2011. "Dealing with Structural Change: A Diagnosis of the Thai Economy," Working Papers 2011-04, Monetary Policy Group, Bank of Thailand.
  • Handle: RePEc:bth:wpaper:2011-04
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    File URL: http://www.bot.or.th/Thai/EconomicConditions/Publication/DiscussionPaper/dp042011_eng.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Don Nakonthab & Krongkaeo Kritayakirana & Sukonpat Chantapant, 2007. "Are Thai Banks Vulnerable?: Structural Analysis of Bank Corporate Loan Portfolio and Implications," Working Papers 2007-03, Monetary Policy Group, Bank of Thailand.
    2. Fogel, Kathy & Morck, Randall & Yeung, Bernard, 2008. "Big business stability and economic growth: Is what's good for General Motors good for America?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(1), pages 83-108, July.
    3. Kiatipong Ariyapruchya & Cheerapan O-lanthanasate & Chatsurang Karnchanasai, 2006. "Strengthening the Competitiveness of Thai Firms: What Needs to be Done?," Working Papers 2006-03, Monetary Policy Group, Bank of Thailand.
    4. Thammarak Moenjak & Kengjai Watjanapukka & Oramone Chantapant & Teeravit Pobsukhirun, 2010. "New Globalization: Risks and Opportunities for Thailand in the Next Decade," Working Papers 2010-04, Monetary Policy Group, Bank of Thailand.
    5. Ashvin Ahuja & Thitima Chucherd & Kobsak Pootrakool, 2006. "Human Capital Policy: Building a Competitive Workforce for 21st Century Thailand," Working Papers 2006-04, Monetary Policy Group, Bank of Thailand.
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    Cited by:

    1. Dilaka Lathapipat & Thitima Chucherd, 2013. "Labour Market Functioning and Thailand's Competitiveness," Working Papers 2013-03, Monetary Policy Group, Bank of Thailand.
    2. Nakarin Amarase & Tosapol Apaitan & Kiatipong Ariyapruchya, 2013. "Thailand's Quest for Economic Growth: From Factor Accumulation to Creative Destruction," Working Papers 2013-02, Monetary Policy Group, Bank of Thailand.

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