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Applying CoV aR to Measure Systemic Market Risk: the Colombian Case

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  • Mauricio Arias
  • Juan Carlos Mendoza
  • David Pérez-Reyna

Abstract

In Colombia, the exposition to market risk has increased significantly since 2009. Nonetheless, the risk codependence among agents has not been analyzed yet from the perspective of this risk. Therefore, this paper presents an approach to estimate such relevance based on CoVaR and quantile regressions. This methodology is flexible enough to allow the estimation of the systemic market risk contribution of banks, pension funds, and between different types of financial institutions. Results suggest that risk codependence among entities increases during distress periods.

Suggested Citation

  • Mauricio Arias & Juan Carlos Mendoza & David Pérez-Reyna, 2010. "Applying CoV aR to Measure Systemic Market Risk: the Colombian Case," Temas de Estabilidad Financiera 047, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  • Handle: RePEc:bdr:temest:047
    DOI: 10.32468/tef.47
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Acharya, Viral V., 2009. "A theory of systemic risk and design of prudential bank regulation," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 5(3), pages 224-255, September.
    2. P. Hartmann & S. Straetmans & C. G. de Vries, 2004. "Asset Market Linkages in Crisis Periods," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 86(1), pages 313-326, February.
    3. Jorge A. Chan-Lau & Donald J. Mathieson & James Y. Yao, 2004. "Extreme Contagion in Equity Markets," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 51(2), pages 1-8.
    4. Jean-Charles Rochet & Jean Tirole, 1996. "Interbank lending and systemic risk," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), pages 733-765.
    5. Oscar Martínez A. & Jorge Mario Uribe Gil, 2008. "Una aproximación dinámica a la medición del riesgo de mercado para los bancos comerciales en Colombia," Temas de Estabilidad Financiera 031, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    6. Furfine, Craig H, 2003. "Interbank Exposures: Quantifying the Risk of Contagion," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 35(1), pages 111-128, February.
    7. Alejandro Reveiz Herault & Carlos Eduardo León Rincón, 2008. "Índice representativo del mercado de deuda pública interna: IDXTES," Borradores de Economia 4522, Banco de la Republica.
    8. Céline Gauthier & Alfred Lehar & Moez Souissi, 2010. "Macroprudential Regulation and Systemic Capital Requirements," Staff Working Papers 10-4, Bank of Canada.
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    Cited by:

    1. Mauricio Zevallos & Fernanda Villarreal & Carlos Del Carpio & Omar Abbara, 2017. "Metal Prices and International Market Risk in the Peruvian Stock Market," Revista Economía, Fondo Editorial - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú, vol. 40(79), pages 87-104.
    2. Zevallos, Mauricio & Villarreal, Fernanda & Del Carpio, Carlos & Abbara, Omar, 2014. "Influencia de los precios de los metales y el mercado internacional en el riesgo bursátil peruano," Working Papers 2014-023, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    3. Mariana Laverde & Javier Gutiérrez Rueda, 2012. "¿Cómo caracterizar entidades sistémicas?: Medidas de impacto sistémico para el sistema financiero colombiano," Temas de Estabilidad Financiera 065, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    4. Natasha Agarwal et al, 2013. "A Systematic approach to identify systemically important firms," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2013-021, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    5. Liu, Xiaochun, 2013. "Systemic Risk of Commercial Banks: A Markov-Switching Quantile Autoregression Approach," MPRA Paper 55801, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Orlando Rivera-Escobar & John Willmer Escobar & Diego Fernando Manotas, 2022. "Measurement of Systemic Risk in the Colombian Banking Sector," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-27, January.
    7. Jacob Kleinow & Andreas Horsch & Mario Garcia-Molina, 2017. "Factors driving systemic risk of banks in Latin America," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 41(2), pages 211-234, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Systemic Market Risk; CoVaR; Value at Risk; Quantile Regression.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C20 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - General
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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