IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/bdi/opques/qef_1033_26.html

Demographics and consumption: evolution and composition of household expenditure in Italy

Author

Listed:
  • Concetta Rondinelli

    (Bank of Italy)

  • Federico Tullio

    (Bank of Italy)

  • Francesca Zanichelli

    (Bank of Italy)

Abstract

This paper analyses the extent to which demographic changes have affected household consumption behaviour over the period 1997-2023. Using microdata from the Italian Household Budget Survey (HBS), we show that average household expenditure in real terms declined significantly over the last twenty-five years. Changes in population structure contributed to this trend: population ageing had only a limited impact, whereas the decline in average household size and in the share of couples with children played an important role. These changes, on the other hand, mitigated the decline in per-capita consumption and had only a negligible effect on equivalised consumption. The composition of household expenditure remained broadly stable over time for most expenditure categories. By contrast, the share allocated to housing and utilities increased substantially, mainly reflecting relative price dynamics and, to a lesser extent, the rising prevalence of single-person households.

Suggested Citation

  • Concetta Rondinelli & Federico Tullio & Francesca Zanichelli, 2026. "Demographics and consumption: evolution and composition of household expenditure in Italy," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 1033, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  • Handle: RePEc:bdi:opques:qef_1033_26
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.bancaditalia.it/pubblicazioni/qef/2026-1033/QEF_1033_26.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. DiNardo, John & Fortin, Nicole M & Lemieux, Thomas, 1996. "Labor Market Institutions and the Distribution of Wages, 1973-1992: A Semiparametric Approach," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(5), pages 1001-1044, September.
    2. Milton Friedman, 1957. "Introduction to "A Theory of the Consumption Function"," NBER Chapters, in: A Theory of the Consumption Function, pages 1-6, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Milton Friedman, 1957. "A Theory of the Consumption Function," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number frie57-1.
    4. Oaxaca, Ronald, 1973. "Male-Female Wage Differentials in Urban Labor Markets," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 14(3), pages 693-709, October.
    5. Vincenzo Napoleone & Andrea Cutillo, 2023. "Le spese per consumo in Italia negli ultimi venti anni," ECONOMIA E SOCIET? REGIONALE, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2023(1), pages 23-38.
    6. Concetta Rondinelli, 2014. "On the Structure of Italian Households: Consumption Patterns During the Recent Crises," Politica economica, Società editrice il Mulino, issue 2-3, pages 235-260.
    7. Gaetano Basso & Francesca Carta & Concetta Rondinelli & Federico Tullio & Francesca Zanichelli, 2026. "An assessment of the marginal propensity to consume in Italy in the post-Covid recovery," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 1034, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    8. Alan S. Blinder, 1973. "Wage Discrimination: Reduced Form and Structural Estimates," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 8(4), pages 436-455.
    9. Deaton, Angus S & Muellbauer, John, 1980. "An Almost Ideal Demand System," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(3), pages 312-326, June.
    10. Tullio, Federico, 2025. "Dynamics and measurement error in household income data collected with single questions," MPRA Paper 124151, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. William G. Gale & Hilary Gelfond & Jason J. Fichtner & Benjamin H. Harris, 2021. "The Wealth of Generations, With Special Attention to the Millennials," NBER Chapters, in: Measuring Distribution and Mobility of Income and Wealth, pages 145-174, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Eva M. Sierminska & Joachim R. Frick & Markus M. Grabka, 2010. "Examining the gender wealth gap," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 62(4), pages 669-690, October.
    3. Mathä, Thomas Y. & Porpiglia, Alessandro & Ziegelmeyer, Michael, 2017. "Household wealth in the euro area: The importance of intergenerational transfers, homeownership and house price dynamics," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 1-12.
    4. Esa Karonen & Mikko Niemelä, 2022. "Necessity-Rich, Leisure-Poor: The Long-Term Relationship Between Income Cohorts and Consumption Through Age-Period-Cohort Analysis," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 43(3), pages 599-620, September.
    5. Eva M. Sierminska & Joachim R. Frick & Markus M. Grabka, 2008. "Examining the Gender Wealth Gap in Germany," SOEPpapers on Multidisciplinary Panel Data Research 115, DIW Berlin, The German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP).
    6. Albert, Juan-Francisco & Gómez-Fernández, Nerea, 2024. "The impact of monetary policy shocks on net worth and consumption across races in the United States," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 48(1).
    7. Thomas Y. Mathä & Alessandro Porpiglia & Michael Ziegelmeyer, 2014. "Wealth differences across borders and the effect of real estate price dynamics: Evidence from two household surveys," BCL working papers 90, Central Bank of Luxembourg.
    8. Mao, Minghai & Raiola, Antonio & Yang, Da, 2025. "Double machine learning for Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
    9. Matias Busso & Patrick Kline, 2008. "Do Local Economic Development Programs Work? Evidence from the Federal Empowerment Zone Program," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1639, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    10. Töpfer, Marina, 2017. "Detailed RIF decomposition with selection: The gender pay gap in Italy," Hohenheim Discussion Papers in Business, Economics and Social Sciences 26-2017, University of Hohenheim, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences.
    11. Sergio Longobardi & Margherita Maria Pagliuca & Andrea Regoli, 2018. "Can problem-solving attitudes explain the gender gap in financial literacy? Evidence from Italian students’ data," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 52(4), pages 1677-1705, July.
    12. Jamie H. Douglas & Michael D. Steinberger, 2015. "The Sexual Orientation Wage Gap for Racial Minorities," Industrial Relations: A Journal of Economy and Society, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 54(1), pages 59-108, January.
    13. repec:pra:mprapa:48888 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. repec:dgr:rugggd:gd-114 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Gale, William & Pence, Karen, 2006. "Are Successive Generations Getting Wealthier, and If So, Why?Evidence from the 1990s," MPRA Paper 55502, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Ramos, Raul & Sanromá, Esteban & Simón, Hipólito, 2022. "Collective bargaining levels, employment and wage inequality in Spain," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 375-395.
    17. Brendan Kline & Justin L. Tobias, 2014. "Explaining Trends in Body Mass Index Using Demographic Counterfactuals," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(1-4), pages 172-196, June.
    18. Luis Ayala & Javier Martín‐Román & Juan Vicente, 2024. "What contributes to rising inequality in large cities?," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 64(5), pages 1760-1810, November.
    19. Anna Lukiyanova, 2013. "Earnings inequality and informal Employment in Russia," HSE Working papers WP BRP 37/EC/2013, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    20. Murray Leibbrandt & James Levinsohn, 2014. "Fifteen Years On: Household Incomes in South Africa," NBER Chapters, in: African Successes, Volume I: Government and Institutions, pages 333-355, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    21. Zhu, Rong, 2016. "Wage differentials between urban residents and rural migrants in urban China during 2002–2007: A distributional analysis," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 2-14.
    22. Ferreira , Francisco H. G., 2010. "Distributions in motion: economic growth, inequality, and poverty dynamics," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5424, The World Bank.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bdi:opques:qef_1033_26. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/bdigvit.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.