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Une modélisation des trajectoires de croissance à long terme des Outre-mer

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  • Olivier SUDRIE

Abstract

Au cours du demi-siècle passé, les économies des départements d’Outre-mer ont enregistré une croissance plus soutenue, en moyenne, qu’en métropole. Cette progression s’est traduite par une convergence des niveaux de PIB par tête : les écarts avec l’Hexagone, qui étaient encore de 70% au début des années 1970, ne sont plus aujourd’hui que de 40% environ.L’objectif principal de ce « papier de recherche » est de présenter un scénario tendanciel de croissance des économies ultramarines à l’horizon 2050 et de s’interroger sur la pérennité du processus de convergence.

Suggested Citation

  • Olivier SUDRIE, 2021. "Une modélisation des trajectoires de croissance à long terme des Outre-mer," Working Paper 4d4f18a6-58fb-4a71-ab08-9, Agence française de développement.
    • Handle: RePEc:avg:wpaper:fr13077
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    File URL: https://www.afd.fr/sites/afd/files/2021-09-11-41-50/Mod%C3%A9lisation%20des%20trajectoires%20de%20croissance%20%C3%A0%20long%20terme%20des%20OM.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Robert M. Solow, 1956. "A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 70(1), pages 65-94.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Guadeloupe; Guyane; La Réunion; Martinique; Mayotte; Nouvelle-Calédonie; Polynésie française; Saint-Pierre-et-Miquelon;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics

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